Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima
Several recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents' electoral support among the poor. Th...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Brazilian Political Science Association
2015-08-01
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| Series: | Brazilian Political Science Review |
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| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/pdf/bpsr/v9n2/1981-3821-bpsr-9-2-0109.pdf |
| _version_ | 1828339755437260800 |
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| author | Diego Sanches Corrêa |
| author_facet | Diego Sanches Corrêa |
| author_sort | Diego Sanches Corrêa |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Several recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents' electoral support among the poor. This research note is the first scholarly attempt to investigate this phenomenon at a lower-level unit of a federal state, by assessing the impact of a municipal cash transfer program on a mayoral election. Specifically, it investigates whether Renda Mínima, the cash transfer program of the city of Sao Paulo, affected beneficiaries' electoral behavior in favor of the incumbent candidate in the 2004 mayoral election. This note analyzes survey data from CEBRAP/IBOPE and shows that cash transfers did, indeed, affect beneficiaries' behavior in the predicted direction, but only in cases where they did not benefit from any other CCT program, such as the federal Bolsa Família or the São Paulo state Renda Cidadã. These results suggest that the pro-incumbent effect of CCT programs may be diluted by similar programs launched by governments at other tiers of a federation, even if they are led by the same party. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T22:47:17Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3616299e1da14b1b978df74ec4b8f274 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1981-3821 1981-3821 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T22:47:17Z |
| publishDate | 2015-08-01 |
| publisher | Brazilian Political Science Association |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Brazilian Political Science Review |
| spelling | doaj.art-3616299e1da14b1b978df74ec4b8f2742022-12-22T02:26:20ZengBrazilian Political Science AssociationBrazilian Political Science Review1981-38211981-38212015-08-0192109120Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda MínimaDiego Sanches Corrêa0Universidade de São Paulo, BrazilSeveral recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents' electoral support among the poor. This research note is the first scholarly attempt to investigate this phenomenon at a lower-level unit of a federal state, by assessing the impact of a municipal cash transfer program on a mayoral election. Specifically, it investigates whether Renda Mínima, the cash transfer program of the city of Sao Paulo, affected beneficiaries' electoral behavior in favor of the incumbent candidate in the 2004 mayoral election. This note analyzes survey data from CEBRAP/IBOPE and shows that cash transfers did, indeed, affect beneficiaries' behavior in the predicted direction, but only in cases where they did not benefit from any other CCT program, such as the federal Bolsa Família or the São Paulo state Renda Cidadã. These results suggest that the pro-incumbent effect of CCT programs may be diluted by similar programs launched by governments at other tiers of a federation, even if they are led by the same party.http://www.scielo.br/pdf/bpsr/v9n2/1981-3821-bpsr-9-2-0109.pdfRenda Mínimamayoral electionindividual attitudesincome redistributioncash transfers |
| spellingShingle | Diego Sanches Corrêa Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima Brazilian Political Science Review Renda Mínima mayoral election individual attitudes income redistribution cash transfers |
| title | Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima |
| title_full | Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima |
| title_fullStr | Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima |
| title_full_unstemmed | Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima |
| title_short | Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima |
| title_sort | cash transfers and mayoral elections the case of sao paulo s renda minima |
| topic | Renda Mínima mayoral election individual attitudes income redistribution cash transfers |
| url | http://www.scielo.br/pdf/bpsr/v9n2/1981-3821-bpsr-9-2-0109.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT diegosanchescorrea cashtransfersandmayoralelectionsthecaseofsaopaulosrendaminima |