The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy)
In the present paper, the coastal risk is assessed, at a regional scale, to produce a risk map that will help to prioritize policies and economic resources in coastal management and planning activities. The DPSIR method is here used taking into account processes and cause/effect relationship between...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2020-07-01
|
| Series: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/8/7/531 |
| _version_ | 1827712879913074688 |
|---|---|
| author | Maria Francesca Bruno Alessandra Saponieri Matteo Gianluca Molfetta Leonardo Damiani |
| author_facet | Maria Francesca Bruno Alessandra Saponieri Matteo Gianluca Molfetta Leonardo Damiani |
| author_sort | Maria Francesca Bruno |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In the present paper, the coastal risk is assessed, at a regional scale, to produce a risk map that will help to prioritize policies and economic resources in coastal management and planning activities. The DPSIR method is here used taking into account processes and cause/effect relationship between Drivers and Pressures, which induce an alteration of actual State and, hence, Impacts on the environment, society and economy. The study area is located in South Italy (Apulia region), where the Risk Index is calculated and mapped for all municipalities facing the Adriatic and Ionian Seas. Both coastal Vulnerability and Exposure Indexes are firstly calculated according to the procedure suggested in the EUrosion project (EU model) as the product of specific indicators describing the state of coastal zones, their natural characteristics and both natural and anthropic pressures. Based on both EU model results and knowledge of states and pressures of the study area, a new modified model is then proposed (Mod.E.M.) and final risk maps compared. The comparison shows that new Vulnerability and Exposure indexes better describe the ongoing coastal processes and pressures and allow us to identify hot-spot sites where more detailed analyses could be further focused on. The Mod.E.M. has more than just a local significance since the case study includes coastal areas with so different characteristics, that it can be easily applied to other coastal regions. Moreover, to take into account climate change effects, Risk Index is evaluated under Representative Concentration Pathways <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mrow> <mi>R</mi> <mi>C</mi> <mi>P</mi> <mn>4.5</mn> </mrow> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula> and <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mrow> <mi>R</mi> <mi>C</mi> <mi>P</mi> <mn>8.5</mn> </mrow> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula>, mainly affecting the sea level rise and the storm surge level. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T18:23:31Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-36880d6e97bb48ebb15a635de31bbb20 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2077-1312 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T18:23:31Z |
| publishDate | 2020-07-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj.art-36880d6e97bb48ebb15a635de31bbb202023-11-20T07:11:03ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122020-07-018753110.3390/jmse8070531The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy)Maria Francesca Bruno0Alessandra Saponieri1Matteo Gianluca Molfetta2Leonardo Damiani3Department of Civil, Environmental, Building Engineering and Chemistry, Polytechnic University of Bari-Via E. Orabona, 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyDepartment of Engineering for Innovation, University of Salento, Ecotekne, 73047 Lecce, ItalyDepartment of Civil, Environmental, Building Engineering and Chemistry, Polytechnic University of Bari-Via E. Orabona, 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyDepartment of Civil, Environmental, Building Engineering and Chemistry, Polytechnic University of Bari-Via E. Orabona, 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyIn the present paper, the coastal risk is assessed, at a regional scale, to produce a risk map that will help to prioritize policies and economic resources in coastal management and planning activities. The DPSIR method is here used taking into account processes and cause/effect relationship between Drivers and Pressures, which induce an alteration of actual State and, hence, Impacts on the environment, society and economy. The study area is located in South Italy (Apulia region), where the Risk Index is calculated and mapped for all municipalities facing the Adriatic and Ionian Seas. Both coastal Vulnerability and Exposure Indexes are firstly calculated according to the procedure suggested in the EUrosion project (EU model) as the product of specific indicators describing the state of coastal zones, their natural characteristics and both natural and anthropic pressures. Based on both EU model results and knowledge of states and pressures of the study area, a new modified model is then proposed (Mod.E.M.) and final risk maps compared. The comparison shows that new Vulnerability and Exposure indexes better describe the ongoing coastal processes and pressures and allow us to identify hot-spot sites where more detailed analyses could be further focused on. The Mod.E.M. has more than just a local significance since the case study includes coastal areas with so different characteristics, that it can be easily applied to other coastal regions. Moreover, to take into account climate change effects, Risk Index is evaluated under Representative Concentration Pathways <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mrow> <mi>R</mi> <mi>C</mi> <mi>P</mi> <mn>4.5</mn> </mrow> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula> and <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mrow> <mi>R</mi> <mi>C</mi> <mi>P</mi> <mn>8.5</mn> </mrow> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula>, mainly affecting the sea level rise and the storm surge level.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/8/7/531risk assessmentDPSIRcoastal erosioncoastal floodingICZMEUrosion |
| spellingShingle | Maria Francesca Bruno Alessandra Saponieri Matteo Gianluca Molfetta Leonardo Damiani The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy) Journal of Marine Science and Engineering risk assessment DPSIR coastal erosion coastal flooding ICZM EUrosion |
| title | The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy) |
| title_full | The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy) |
| title_fullStr | The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy) |
| title_full_unstemmed | The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy) |
| title_short | The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy) |
| title_sort | dpsir approach for coastal risk assessment under climate change at regional scale the case of apulian coast italy |
| topic | risk assessment DPSIR coastal erosion coastal flooding ICZM EUrosion |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/8/7/531 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mariafrancescabruno thedpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT alessandrasaponieri thedpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT matteogianlucamolfetta thedpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT leonardodamiani thedpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT mariafrancescabruno dpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT alessandrasaponieri dpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT matteogianlucamolfetta dpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly AT leonardodamiani dpsirapproachforcoastalriskassessmentunderclimatechangeatregionalscalethecaseofapuliancoastitaly |