The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change

Ship engine combustion emits several atmospheric pollutants, such as PM, SOx, and NOx, which can have adverse health effects and are significant contributors to decreased air quality. Due to the distribution of maritime transport activity routes in the EU, a large portion of the population is expose...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michael Russo, David Carvalho, Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Alexandra Monteiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/7/1126
_version_ 1797590286069661696
author Michael Russo
David Carvalho
Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen
Alexandra Monteiro
author_facet Michael Russo
David Carvalho
Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen
Alexandra Monteiro
author_sort Michael Russo
collection DOAJ
description Ship engine combustion emits several atmospheric pollutants, such as PM, SOx, and NOx, which can have adverse health effects and are significant contributors to decreased air quality. Due to the distribution of maritime transport activity routes in the EU, a large portion of the population is exposed to shipping emissions throughout Europe. Therefore, in light of the European Commission long-term objective of “zero-waste, zero-emission” for maritime transport, the focus of this study was to quantify the impact of shipping emissions in the present, as well as the future, considering both emissions projection for the shipping sector and a climate change scenario. The WRF-CHIMERE modelling system was used to quantify the impact of shipping in Europe. To obtain the current and future contributions of maritime transport to the total pollutant concentrations, simulations were divided into two present (baseline and without shipping) and three future scenarios (shipping projection, climate change, and shipping projection and climate change). The results indicate that the current and future impacts of shipping emissions on pollutant concentrations are similar in some regions (NO<sub>2</sub> for Northern Europe and SO<sub>2</sub> for Southern Europe), which is due to the enforcement of emission control areas for those pollutants. However, efforts towards lowering emissions from the shipping sector are negated in the south of this domain due to the concentration changes caused by the climate change scenario. In light of these changes, the introduction of a NECA is proposed for the Mediterranean, which would help us to make great strides to reduce the impact of the shipping sector in the region and aid in counteracting the effects of climate change.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T01:19:23Z
format Article
id doaj.art-36fc177cd9e24bf89851741288dfa0b3
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4433
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T01:19:23Z
publishDate 2023-07-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Atmosphere
spelling doaj.art-36fc177cd9e24bf89851741288dfa0b32023-11-18T18:15:51ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332023-07-01147112610.3390/atmos14071126The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate ChangeMichael Russo0David Carvalho1Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen2Alexandra Monteiro3Department of Environment and Planning, CESAM, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, PortugalDepartment of Physics, CESAM, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, PortugalFinnish Meteorological Institute, FI-00101 Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Environment and Planning, CESAM, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, PortugalShip engine combustion emits several atmospheric pollutants, such as PM, SOx, and NOx, which can have adverse health effects and are significant contributors to decreased air quality. Due to the distribution of maritime transport activity routes in the EU, a large portion of the population is exposed to shipping emissions throughout Europe. Therefore, in light of the European Commission long-term objective of “zero-waste, zero-emission” for maritime transport, the focus of this study was to quantify the impact of shipping emissions in the present, as well as the future, considering both emissions projection for the shipping sector and a climate change scenario. The WRF-CHIMERE modelling system was used to quantify the impact of shipping in Europe. To obtain the current and future contributions of maritime transport to the total pollutant concentrations, simulations were divided into two present (baseline and without shipping) and three future scenarios (shipping projection, climate change, and shipping projection and climate change). The results indicate that the current and future impacts of shipping emissions on pollutant concentrations are similar in some regions (NO<sub>2</sub> for Northern Europe and SO<sub>2</sub> for Southern Europe), which is due to the enforcement of emission control areas for those pollutants. However, efforts towards lowering emissions from the shipping sector are negated in the south of this domain due to the concentration changes caused by the climate change scenario. In light of these changes, the introduction of a NECA is proposed for the Mediterranean, which would help us to make great strides to reduce the impact of the shipping sector in the region and aid in counteracting the effects of climate change.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/7/1126shipping emissionsclimate changeair quality
spellingShingle Michael Russo
David Carvalho
Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen
Alexandra Monteiro
The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change
Atmosphere
shipping emissions
climate change
air quality
title The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change
title_full The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change
title_fullStr The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change
title_full_unstemmed The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change
title_short The Future Impact of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality in Europe under Climate Change
title_sort future impact of shipping emissions on air quality in europe under climate change
topic shipping emissions
climate change
air quality
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/7/1126
work_keys_str_mv AT michaelrusso thefutureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT davidcarvalho thefutureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT jukkapekkajalkanen thefutureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT alexandramonteiro thefutureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT michaelrusso futureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT davidcarvalho futureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT jukkapekkajalkanen futureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange
AT alexandramonteiro futureimpactofshippingemissionsonairqualityineuropeunderclimatechange