Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment

Article highlights Poor estimation performance of difference-equation (DE) based FXR signal prediction is shown. The usual range of values that the DE coefficients take is specified. Poor estimation is linked to the high volatility of the coefficients over small data segments.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Adil Aşırım, Özüm Emre Aşırım, Murat Adil Salepçioğlu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2023-02-01
Series:SN Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-023-05294-y
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author Adil Aşırım
Özüm Emre Aşırım
Murat Adil Salepçioğlu
author_facet Adil Aşırım
Özüm Emre Aşırım
Murat Adil Salepçioğlu
author_sort Adil Aşırım
collection DOAJ
description Article highlights Poor estimation performance of difference-equation (DE) based FXR signal prediction is shown. The usual range of values that the DE coefficients take is specified. Poor estimation is linked to the high volatility of the coefficients over small data segments.
first_indexed 2024-04-10T15:41:50Z
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issn 2523-3963
2523-3971
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-10T15:41:50Z
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spelling doaj.art-377a81b2afb24372a60117c749c55d492023-02-12T12:19:32ZengSpringerSN Applied Sciences2523-39632523-39712023-02-015311510.1007/s42452-023-05294-yAnalysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessmentAdil Aşırım0Özüm Emre Aşırım1Murat Adil Salepçioğlu2Department of Management, Istanbul Aydın UniversityDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Technical University of MunichDepartment of Management, Istanbul Aydın UniversityArticle highlights Poor estimation performance of difference-equation (DE) based FXR signal prediction is shown. The usual range of values that the DE coefficients take is specified. Poor estimation is linked to the high volatility of the coefficients over small data segments.https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-023-05294-yForeign-exchange marketFinancial time seriesPredictionForecastingRisk assessmentNeural networks
spellingShingle Adil Aşırım
Özüm Emre Aşırım
Murat Adil Salepçioğlu
Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment
SN Applied Sciences
Foreign-exchange market
Financial time series
Prediction
Forecasting
Risk assessment
Neural networks
title Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment
title_full Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment
title_fullStr Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment
title_short Analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange-market using neural networks and Monte-Carlo method for predictıon and risk assessment
title_sort analysis of local system behavior in the foreign exchange market using neural networks and monte carlo method for prediction and risk assessment
topic Foreign-exchange market
Financial time series
Prediction
Forecasting
Risk assessment
Neural networks
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-023-05294-y
work_keys_str_mv AT adilasırım analysisoflocalsystembehaviorintheforeignexchangemarketusingneuralnetworksandmontecarlomethodforpredictıonandriskassessment
AT ozumemreasırım analysisoflocalsystembehaviorintheforeignexchangemarketusingneuralnetworksandmontecarlomethodforpredictıonandriskassessment
AT muratadilsalepcioglu analysisoflocalsystembehaviorintheforeignexchangemarketusingneuralnetworksandmontecarlomethodforpredictıonandriskassessment