Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries

Modern Pacific decadal variability (PDV) has global impacts; hence records of PDV from the pre-instrumental period are needed to better inform models that are used to project future climate variability. We focus here on reconstructing rainfall in the western tropical Pacific (Solomon Islands; ~ 9.5°...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: C. R. Maupin, J. W. Partin, C.-C. Shen, T. M. Quinn, K. Lin, F. W. Taylor, J. L. Banner, K. Thirumalai, D. J. Sinclair
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2014-07-01
Series:Climate of the Past
Online Access:http://www.clim-past.net/10/1319/2014/cp-10-1319-2014.pdf
_version_ 1811275063442276352
author C. R. Maupin
J. W. Partin
C.-C. Shen
T. M. Quinn
K. Lin
F. W. Taylor
J. L. Banner
K. Thirumalai
D. J. Sinclair
author_facet C. R. Maupin
J. W. Partin
C.-C. Shen
T. M. Quinn
K. Lin
F. W. Taylor
J. L. Banner
K. Thirumalai
D. J. Sinclair
author_sort C. R. Maupin
collection DOAJ
description Modern Pacific decadal variability (PDV) has global impacts; hence records of PDV from the pre-instrumental period are needed to better inform models that are used to project future climate variability. We focus here on reconstructing rainfall in the western tropical Pacific (Solomon Islands; ~ 9.5° S, ~160° E), a region directly influenced by PDV, using cave deposits (stalagmite). A relationship is developed between δ<sup>18</sup>O variations in the stalagmite and local rainfall amount to produce a 600 yr record of rainfall variability from the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ). We present evidence for large (~1.5 m), abrupt, and periodic changes in total annual rainfall amount on decadal to multidecadal timescales since 1423 ± 5 CE (Common Era) in the Solomon Islands. The timing of the decadal changes in rainfall inferred from the 20th century portion of the stalagmite δ<sup>18</sup>O record coincides with previously identified decadal shifts in PDV-related Pacific ocean–atmosphere behavior (Clement et al., 2011; Deser et al., 2004). The Solomons record of PDV is not associated with variations in external forcings, but rather results from internal climate variability. The 600 yr Solomon Islands stalagmite δ<sup>18</sup>O record indicates that decadal oscillations in rainfall are a persistent characteristic of SPCZ-related climate variability.
first_indexed 2024-04-12T23:31:23Z
format Article
id doaj.art-37fce915b55240a1a7ffba3341f25392
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1814-9324
1814-9332
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-12T23:31:23Z
publishDate 2014-07-01
publisher Copernicus Publications
record_format Article
series Climate of the Past
spelling doaj.art-37fce915b55240a1a7ffba3341f253922022-12-22T03:12:16ZengCopernicus PublicationsClimate of the Past1814-93241814-93322014-07-011041319133210.5194/cp-10-1319-2014Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuriesC. R. Maupin0J. W. Partin1C.-C. Shen2T. M. Quinn3K. Lin4F. W. Taylor5J. L. Banner6K. Thirumalai7D. J. Sinclair8Institute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78758, USAInstitute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78758, USAHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei 106, TaiwanInstitute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78758, USAHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei 106, TaiwanInstitute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78758, USADepartment of Geological Sciences, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78705, USAInstitute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78758, USAInstitute of Marine and Coastal Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08901, USAModern Pacific decadal variability (PDV) has global impacts; hence records of PDV from the pre-instrumental period are needed to better inform models that are used to project future climate variability. We focus here on reconstructing rainfall in the western tropical Pacific (Solomon Islands; ~ 9.5° S, ~160° E), a region directly influenced by PDV, using cave deposits (stalagmite). A relationship is developed between δ<sup>18</sup>O variations in the stalagmite and local rainfall amount to produce a 600 yr record of rainfall variability from the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ). We present evidence for large (~1.5 m), abrupt, and periodic changes in total annual rainfall amount on decadal to multidecadal timescales since 1423 ± 5 CE (Common Era) in the Solomon Islands. The timing of the decadal changes in rainfall inferred from the 20th century portion of the stalagmite δ<sup>18</sup>O record coincides with previously identified decadal shifts in PDV-related Pacific ocean–atmosphere behavior (Clement et al., 2011; Deser et al., 2004). The Solomons record of PDV is not associated with variations in external forcings, but rather results from internal climate variability. The 600 yr Solomon Islands stalagmite δ<sup>18</sup>O record indicates that decadal oscillations in rainfall are a persistent characteristic of SPCZ-related climate variability.http://www.clim-past.net/10/1319/2014/cp-10-1319-2014.pdf
spellingShingle C. R. Maupin
J. W. Partin
C.-C. Shen
T. M. Quinn
K. Lin
F. W. Taylor
J. L. Banner
K. Thirumalai
D. J. Sinclair
Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries
Climate of the Past
title Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries
title_full Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries
title_fullStr Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries
title_full_unstemmed Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries
title_short Persistent decadal-scale rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone through the past six centuries
title_sort persistent decadal scale rainfall variability in the tropical south pacific convergence zone through the past six centuries
url http://www.clim-past.net/10/1319/2014/cp-10-1319-2014.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT crmaupin persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT jwpartin persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT ccshen persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT tmquinn persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT klin persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT fwtaylor persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT jlbanner persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT kthirumalai persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies
AT djsinclair persistentdecadalscalerainfallvariabilityinthetropicalsouthpacificconvergencezonethroughthepastsixcenturies