Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models

Acacia nilotica is an invasive species in the Baluran National Park. The spread of A. nilotica is a serious threat that can disrupt the function of savanna ecosystems in providing food for herbivores and eventually led to a decrease in wildlife populations of herbivorous. The growth of A. nilotica...

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Main Authors: Sahid Agustian Hudjimartsu, Yeni Herdiyeni, Lilik Budi Prasetyo, Agung Siswoyo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Bogor Agricultural University 2017-12-01
Series:Jurnal Manajemen Hutan Tropika
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ilkom.journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jmht/article/view/19660
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author Sahid Agustian Hudjimartsu
Yeni Herdiyeni
Lilik Budi Prasetyo
Agung Siswoyo
author_facet Sahid Agustian Hudjimartsu
Yeni Herdiyeni
Lilik Budi Prasetyo
Agung Siswoyo
author_sort Sahid Agustian Hudjimartsu
collection DOAJ
description Acacia nilotica is an invasive species in the Baluran National Park. The spread of A. nilotica is a serious threat that can disrupt the function of savanna ecosystems in providing food for herbivores and eventually led to a decrease in wildlife populations of herbivorous. The growth of A. nilotica invasive species is influenced by some environmental factors. In order to prevent the spread of A. nilotica, a model can be formed to prodict the species distribution based on the environmental factors namely generalized linear models. This research used the data from Siswoyo’s research in 2014, which consisted of environmental data and distribution of A. nilotica. The results showed that there were five environmental variables that significantly affect on the spread of A. nilotica invasive species. The variables included elevation, surface temperature, normalized difference vegetation index, normalized difference moisture index, and the distance from the river, with p-value less than 0.05. The accuracy of the prediction model on the spread of A. nilotica using GLM was 97.22% and the Area Under Curve (AUC) value was 0.981.  
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spelling doaj.art-38103f56597249e298bf6aeccbed32b12022-12-22T02:51:42ZengBogor Agricultural UniversityJurnal Manajemen Hutan Tropika2087-04692089-20632017-12-01233Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear ModelsSahid Agustian Hudjimartsu0Yeni Herdiyeni1Lilik Budi Prasetyo2Agung Siswoyo3Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Math and Natural Sciences, Bogor Agricultural University, Dramaga Campus, Bogor, Indonesia 16680Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Math and Natural Sciences, Bogor Agricultural University, Dramaga Campus, Bogor, Indonesia 16680Department of Forest Conservation and Ecotourism, Faculty of Forestry, Bogor Agricultural University, Dramaga Campus, Bogor, Indonesia, 16680Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park, The Ministry of Environment and Forestry, East Java, Indonesia Acacia nilotica is an invasive species in the Baluran National Park. The spread of A. nilotica is a serious threat that can disrupt the function of savanna ecosystems in providing food for herbivores and eventually led to a decrease in wildlife populations of herbivorous. The growth of A. nilotica invasive species is influenced by some environmental factors. In order to prevent the spread of A. nilotica, a model can be formed to prodict the species distribution based on the environmental factors namely generalized linear models. This research used the data from Siswoyo’s research in 2014, which consisted of environmental data and distribution of A. nilotica. The results showed that there were five environmental variables that significantly affect on the spread of A. nilotica invasive species. The variables included elevation, surface temperature, normalized difference vegetation index, normalized difference moisture index, and the distance from the river, with p-value less than 0.05. The accuracy of the prediction model on the spread of A. nilotica using GLM was 97.22% and the Area Under Curve (AUC) value was 0.981.   https://ilkom.journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jmht/article/view/19660Acacia niloticaBaluran National ParkGLMinvasive speciessavanna
spellingShingle Sahid Agustian Hudjimartsu
Yeni Herdiyeni
Lilik Budi Prasetyo
Agung Siswoyo
Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models
Jurnal Manajemen Hutan Tropika
Acacia nilotica
Baluran National Park
GLM
invasive species
savanna
title Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models
title_full Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models
title_fullStr Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models
title_short Prediction of The Spread of Acacia nilotica Invasive Species Using Generalized Linear Models
title_sort prediction of the spread of acacia nilotica invasive species using generalized linear models
topic Acacia nilotica
Baluran National Park
GLM
invasive species
savanna
url https://ilkom.journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jmht/article/view/19660
work_keys_str_mv AT sahidagustianhudjimartsu predictionofthespreadofacacianiloticainvasivespeciesusinggeneralizedlinearmodels
AT yeniherdiyeni predictionofthespreadofacacianiloticainvasivespeciesusinggeneralizedlinearmodels
AT lilikbudiprasetyo predictionofthespreadofacacianiloticainvasivespeciesusinggeneralizedlinearmodels
AT agungsiswoyo predictionofthespreadofacacianiloticainvasivespeciesusinggeneralizedlinearmodels