Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network

The North Mountain landslide in Lijie Town has been in a long-term creeping deformation state and has experienced multiple landslide and debris flow disasters. Monitoring the surface deformation of landslide to grasp the surface deformation pattern of disaster body is a reliable basis for realizing...

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Main Authors: Ziyan GAO, Ruidong LI, Pengqing SHI, Xiaolong ZHOU, Juan ZHANG
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control 2023-12-01
Series:Zhongguo dizhi zaihai yu fangzhi xuebao
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.zgdzzhyfzxb.com/en/article/doi/10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202303062
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author Ziyan GAO
Ruidong LI
Pengqing SHI
Xiaolong ZHOU
Juan ZHANG
author_facet Ziyan GAO
Ruidong LI
Pengqing SHI
Xiaolong ZHOU
Juan ZHANG
author_sort Ziyan GAO
collection DOAJ
description The North Mountain landslide in Lijie Town has been in a long-term creeping deformation state and has experienced multiple landslide and debris flow disasters. Monitoring the surface deformation of landslide to grasp the surface deformation pattern of disaster body is a reliable basis for realizing early warning prediction of geological disaster. In this paper, a machine learning model is introduced to predict the relevant data, and a long and short-term memory network is used to predict the landslide deformation by monitoring the displacement data of North Mountain in Lijie, and the prediction results are compared with the actual data and analyzed. In this paper, root mean square error , mean absolute error , coefficient of determination and explainable variance are used to evaluate the prediction results, among which the coefficient of determination and explainable variance reach 0.99. It shows that the long short-term memory network used in this paper achieves good prediction performance in the prediction of landslide deformation in the North Mountain of Lijie.
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spelling doaj.art-3810bf03383e43ac8ba247ba7eb12e7d2024-02-19T07:14:15ZzhoEditorial Office of The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and ControlZhongguo dizhi zaihai yu fangzhi xuebao1003-80352023-12-01346303610.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202303062202303062Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory networkZiyan GAO0Ruidong LI1Pengqing SHI2Xiaolong ZHOU3Juan ZHANG4Key Laboratory of Groundwater Engineering and Geothermal Resources in Gansu Province, Lanzhou, Gansu 730050, ChinaKey Laboratory of Groundwater Engineering and Geothermal Resources in Gansu Province, Lanzhou, Gansu 730050, ChinaKey Laboratory of Groundwater Engineering and Geothermal Resources in Gansu Province, Lanzhou, Gansu 730050, ChinaKey Laboratory of Groundwater Engineering and Geothermal Resources in Gansu Province, Lanzhou, Gansu 730050, ChinaKey Laboratory of Groundwater Engineering and Geothermal Resources in Gansu Province, Lanzhou, Gansu 730050, ChinaThe North Mountain landslide in Lijie Town has been in a long-term creeping deformation state and has experienced multiple landslide and debris flow disasters. Monitoring the surface deformation of landslide to grasp the surface deformation pattern of disaster body is a reliable basis for realizing early warning prediction of geological disaster. In this paper, a machine learning model is introduced to predict the relevant data, and a long and short-term memory network is used to predict the landslide deformation by monitoring the displacement data of North Mountain in Lijie, and the prediction results are compared with the actual data and analyzed. In this paper, root mean square error , mean absolute error , coefficient of determination and explainable variance are used to evaluate the prediction results, among which the coefficient of determination and explainable variance reach 0.99. It shows that the long short-term memory network used in this paper achieves good prediction performance in the prediction of landslide deformation in the North Mountain of Lijie.https://www.zgdzzhyfzxb.com/en/article/doi/10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202303062landslidelstm neural networkpredictive analysisnorth mountain of lijiemachine learning
spellingShingle Ziyan GAO
Ruidong LI
Pengqing SHI
Xiaolong ZHOU
Juan ZHANG
Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network
Zhongguo dizhi zaihai yu fangzhi xuebao
landslide
lstm neural network
predictive analysis
north mountain of lijie
machine learning
title Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network
title_full Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network
title_fullStr Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network
title_full_unstemmed Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network
title_short Deformation prediction of the Northern Mountain landslide in Lijie Town of Zhouqu, Gansu Province based on long-short term memory network
title_sort deformation prediction of the northern mountain landslide in lijie town of zhouqu gansu province based on long short term memory network
topic landslide
lstm neural network
predictive analysis
north mountain of lijie
machine learning
url https://www.zgdzzhyfzxb.com/en/article/doi/10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202303062
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AT xiaolongzhou deformationpredictionofthenorthernmountainlandslideinlijietownofzhouqugansuprovincebasedonlongshorttermmemorynetwork
AT juanzhang deformationpredictionofthenorthernmountainlandslideinlijietownofzhouqugansuprovincebasedonlongshorttermmemorynetwork