Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality

China’s economy has experienced high-speed development, followed by structural deceleration according to law of development. Does it happen in China? This is the problem focused on in this paper. We explore the appearance for structural deceleration in China through the relation between industrial s...

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Main Authors: Tinghui Li, Xue Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2020-08-01
Series:National Accounting Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/NAR.2020009/fulltext.html
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author Tinghui Li
Xue Li
author_facet Tinghui Li
Xue Li
author_sort Tinghui Li
collection DOAJ
description China’s economy has experienced high-speed development, followed by structural deceleration according to law of development. Does it happen in China? This is the problem focused on in this paper. We explore the appearance for structural deceleration in China through the relation between industrial structure and economic growth quality. The green total factor productivity is selected as the measurement assessing the economic growth quality. We use the Global Malmquist-Luenberger index to measure economic growth quality of China for 30 Chinese provinces over the period of 1998 to 2015. First, the panel regression model is used to show a positive effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality with full sample as well as subsample in the east of China. Negative effects of industrial structure are shown in the middle and west of China. Then the structural deceleration is captured by panel quantile regression model. We claim that structural deceleration indeed happens in China through a decreased contribution of industrial structure to the economic growth quality at different quantiles. However, industrial structure in the east of China still plays a positive role in accelerating the economic growth quality, while its negative effect is anabatic in the middle of China. Finally, we investigate the influencing mechanism of industrial structure on economic growth quality represented by the moderating effects of human capital, innovation capacity and economic development level. All of them show positive moderating effects. The human capital and innovation capacity show heterogeneous at different levels of economic growth quality, contrary to economic development level. Some policy implications are derived according to the results achieved in this the pap
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spelling doaj.art-38237fb588c2434f82497726e912f7692022-12-22T00:28:20ZengAIMS PressNational Accounting Review2689-30102020-08-012215517310.3934/NAR.2020009Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth qualityTinghui Li0Xue Li1School of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaChina’s economy has experienced high-speed development, followed by structural deceleration according to law of development. Does it happen in China? This is the problem focused on in this paper. We explore the appearance for structural deceleration in China through the relation between industrial structure and economic growth quality. The green total factor productivity is selected as the measurement assessing the economic growth quality. We use the Global Malmquist-Luenberger index to measure economic growth quality of China for 30 Chinese provinces over the period of 1998 to 2015. First, the panel regression model is used to show a positive effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality with full sample as well as subsample in the east of China. Negative effects of industrial structure are shown in the middle and west of China. Then the structural deceleration is captured by panel quantile regression model. We claim that structural deceleration indeed happens in China through a decreased contribution of industrial structure to the economic growth quality at different quantiles. However, industrial structure in the east of China still plays a positive role in accelerating the economic growth quality, while its negative effect is anabatic in the middle of China. Finally, we investigate the influencing mechanism of industrial structure on economic growth quality represented by the moderating effects of human capital, innovation capacity and economic development level. All of them show positive moderating effects. The human capital and innovation capacity show heterogeneous at different levels of economic growth quality, contrary to economic development level. Some policy implications are derived according to the results achieved in this the paphttps://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/NAR.2020009/fulltext.htmlindustrial structureeconomic growth qualitystructural decelerationmoderating effectpanel quantile regression model
spellingShingle Tinghui Li
Xue Li
Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
National Accounting Review
industrial structure
economic growth quality
structural deceleration
moderating effect
panel quantile regression model
title Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
title_full Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
title_fullStr Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
title_full_unstemmed Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
title_short Does structural deceleration happen in China? Evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
title_sort does structural deceleration happen in china evidence from the effect of industrial structure on economic growth quality
topic industrial structure
economic growth quality
structural deceleration
moderating effect
panel quantile regression model
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/NAR.2020009/fulltext.html
work_keys_str_mv AT tinghuili doesstructuraldecelerationhappeninchinaevidencefromtheeffectofindustrialstructureoneconomicgrowthquality
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