Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction

In order to establish a sparse and accurate ship motion prediction model, a novel Bayesian probability prediction model based on relevance vector machine (RVM) was proposed for nonparametric modeling. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of RVM were verified from two aspects: (1) the proc...

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Main Authors: Yao Meng, Xianku Zhang, Guoqing Zhang, Xiufeng Zhang, Yating Duan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/8/1572
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author Yao Meng
Xianku Zhang
Guoqing Zhang
Xiufeng Zhang
Yating Duan
author_facet Yao Meng
Xianku Zhang
Guoqing Zhang
Xiufeng Zhang
Yating Duan
author_sort Yao Meng
collection DOAJ
description In order to establish a sparse and accurate ship motion prediction model, a novel Bayesian probability prediction model based on relevance vector machine (RVM) was proposed for nonparametric modeling. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of RVM were verified from two aspects: (1) the processed Sinc function dataset, and (2) the tank test dataset of the KRISO container ship (KCS) model. The KCS was taken as the main research plant, and the motion prediction models of KCS were obtained. The <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>ε</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>-support vector regression and <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>υ</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>-support vector regression were taken as the compared algorithms. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of the three algorithms were analyzed. According to the trained prediction models of the three algorithms, the number of relevance vectors was compared with the number of support vectors. From the prediction results of the Sinc function and tank test datasets, the highest percentage of relevance vectors in the trained sample was below 17%. The final prediction results indicated that the proposed nonparametric models had good prediction performance. They could ensure good sparsity while ensuring high prediction accuracy. Compared with the SVR, the prediction accuracy can be improved by more than 14.04%, and the time consumption was also relatively lower. A training model with good sparsity can reduce prediction time. This is essential for the online prediction of ship motion.
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spelling doaj.art-38446fa5385441e49335d6d21d553a7f2023-11-19T01:46:00ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122023-08-01118157210.3390/jmse11081572Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion PredictionYao Meng0Xianku Zhang1Guoqing Zhang2Xiufeng Zhang3Yating Duan4Navigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, ChinaNavigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, ChinaNavigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, ChinaNavigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, ChinaNavigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, ChinaIn order to establish a sparse and accurate ship motion prediction model, a novel Bayesian probability prediction model based on relevance vector machine (RVM) was proposed for nonparametric modeling. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of RVM were verified from two aspects: (1) the processed Sinc function dataset, and (2) the tank test dataset of the KRISO container ship (KCS) model. The KCS was taken as the main research plant, and the motion prediction models of KCS were obtained. The <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>ε</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>-support vector regression and <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>υ</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>-support vector regression were taken as the compared algorithms. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of the three algorithms were analyzed. According to the trained prediction models of the three algorithms, the number of relevance vectors was compared with the number of support vectors. From the prediction results of the Sinc function and tank test datasets, the highest percentage of relevance vectors in the trained sample was below 17%. The final prediction results indicated that the proposed nonparametric models had good prediction performance. They could ensure good sparsity while ensuring high prediction accuracy. Compared with the SVR, the prediction accuracy can be improved by more than 14.04%, and the time consumption was also relatively lower. A training model with good sparsity can reduce prediction time. This is essential for the online prediction of ship motion.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/8/1572nonparametric identification modelingship motion predictionrelevance vector machinesparsity analysissupport vector regression
spellingShingle Yao Meng
Xianku Zhang
Guoqing Zhang
Xiufeng Zhang
Yating Duan
Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
nonparametric identification modeling
ship motion prediction
relevance vector machine
sparsity analysis
support vector regression
title Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction
title_full Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction
title_fullStr Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction
title_short Sparse Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine Identification Modeling and Its Application to Ship Maneuvering Motion Prediction
title_sort sparse bayesian relevance vector machine identification modeling and its application to ship maneuvering motion prediction
topic nonparametric identification modeling
ship motion prediction
relevance vector machine
sparsity analysis
support vector regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/8/1572
work_keys_str_mv AT yaomeng sparsebayesianrelevancevectormachineidentificationmodelinganditsapplicationtoshipmaneuveringmotionprediction
AT xiankuzhang sparsebayesianrelevancevectormachineidentificationmodelinganditsapplicationtoshipmaneuveringmotionprediction
AT guoqingzhang sparsebayesianrelevancevectormachineidentificationmodelinganditsapplicationtoshipmaneuveringmotionprediction
AT xiufengzhang sparsebayesianrelevancevectormachineidentificationmodelinganditsapplicationtoshipmaneuveringmotionprediction
AT yatingduan sparsebayesianrelevancevectormachineidentificationmodelinganditsapplicationtoshipmaneuveringmotionprediction