A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System

Electric power industry has been undergoing enormous transformations. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the security of electric power system and the decision capacity in the emergency process. As a complicated system, electric power system is affected by many factors, the reasoning of which can...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiaodi Liu, Zengwen Wang, Shitao Zhang, Jiashu Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer
Series:International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125914769/view
_version_ 1811301235025772544
author Xiaodi Liu
Zengwen Wang
Shitao Zhang
Jiashu Liu
author_facet Xiaodi Liu
Zengwen Wang
Shitao Zhang
Jiashu Liu
author_sort Xiaodi Liu
collection DOAJ
description Electric power industry has been undergoing enormous transformations. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the security of electric power system and the decision capacity in the emergency process. As a complicated system, electric power system is affected by many factors, the reasoning of which can be regarded as a process that combines intuition and cognition. Uncertainty characterizes human cognitive and reasoning processes. Several extensions of fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) model have been suggested to handle multifarious sources of uncertainty. Nevertheless, the uncertainty from human doubt may arise in the assignment of membership degrees, which is neglected in current FCMs. To deal with this problem, a novel approach based on hesitant fuzzy sets (HFSs) and FCMs, called hesitant fuzzy cognitive maps (HFCMs), is presented in this paper. The proposed method, which possesses the features of tackling hesitancy explicitly during the experts’ assessments, is demonstrated by an example on the analysis of risk factors affecting electric power system. It can provide a better simulation of the inherent uncertainty in real problems through the hesitancy represented in experts’ knowledge, and a what-if analysis for describing hesitant fuzzy scenario is well developed with the HFCM model.
first_indexed 2024-04-13T07:05:15Z
format Article
id doaj.art-384be49cce5f4cd1ac761d90352186a0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1875-6883
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T07:05:15Z
publisher Springer
record_format Article
series International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
spelling doaj.art-384be49cce5f4cd1ac761d90352186a02022-12-22T02:57:01ZengSpringerInternational Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems1875-688310.2991/ijcis.d.190722.001A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power SystemXiaodi LiuZengwen WangShitao ZhangJiashu LiuElectric power industry has been undergoing enormous transformations. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the security of electric power system and the decision capacity in the emergency process. As a complicated system, electric power system is affected by many factors, the reasoning of which can be regarded as a process that combines intuition and cognition. Uncertainty characterizes human cognitive and reasoning processes. Several extensions of fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) model have been suggested to handle multifarious sources of uncertainty. Nevertheless, the uncertainty from human doubt may arise in the assignment of membership degrees, which is neglected in current FCMs. To deal with this problem, a novel approach based on hesitant fuzzy sets (HFSs) and FCMs, called hesitant fuzzy cognitive maps (HFCMs), is presented in this paper. The proposed method, which possesses the features of tackling hesitancy explicitly during the experts’ assessments, is demonstrated by an example on the analysis of risk factors affecting electric power system. It can provide a better simulation of the inherent uncertainty in real problems through the hesitancy represented in experts’ knowledge, and a what-if analysis for describing hesitant fuzzy scenario is well developed with the HFCM model.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125914769/viewFuzzy cognitive mapHesitant fuzzy setRisk factorsElectric power systemSimulation
spellingShingle Xiaodi Liu
Zengwen Wang
Shitao Zhang
Jiashu Liu
A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Fuzzy cognitive map
Hesitant fuzzy set
Risk factors
Electric power system
Simulation
title A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System
title_full A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System
title_fullStr A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System
title_short A Novel Approach to FCM Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Sets for Modeling Risk Impact on Electric Power System
title_sort novel approach to fcm based on hesitant fuzzy sets for modeling risk impact on electric power system
topic Fuzzy cognitive map
Hesitant fuzzy set
Risk factors
Electric power system
Simulation
url https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125914769/view
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaodiliu anovelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT zengwenwang anovelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT shitaozhang anovelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT jiashuliu anovelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT xiaodiliu novelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT zengwenwang novelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT shitaozhang novelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem
AT jiashuliu novelapproachtofcmbasedonhesitantfuzzysetsformodelingriskimpactonelectricpowersystem