Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival

To determine whether 2 readily available indicators predicted survival among patients with Ebola virus disease in Sierra Leone, we evaluated information for 216 of the 227 patients in Bo District during a 4-month period. The indicators were time from symptom onset to healthcare facility admission an...

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Main Authors: Samuel J. Crowe, Matthew J. Maenner, Solomon Kuah, Bobbie Rae Erickson, Megan Coffee, Barbara Knust, John D. Klena, Joyce Foday, Darren Hertz, Veerle Hermans, Jay Achar, Grazia M. Caleo, Michel Van Herp, César G. Albariño, Brian Amman, Alison Jane Basile, Scott Bearden, Jessica A. Belser, Eric Bergeron, Dianna Blau, Aaron C. Brault, Shelley Campbell, Mike Flint, Aridth Gibbons, Christin Goodman, Laura McMullan, Christopher D. Paddock, Brandy Russell, Johanna S. Salzer, Angela Sanchez, Tara Sealy, David Wang, Gbessay Saffa, Alhajie Turay, Stuart T. Nichol, Jonathan S. Towner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2016-02-01
Series:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/2/15-1250_article
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author Samuel J. Crowe
Matthew J. Maenner
Solomon Kuah
Bobbie Rae Erickson
Megan Coffee
Barbara Knust
John D. Klena
Joyce Foday
Darren Hertz
Veerle Hermans
Jay Achar
Grazia M. Caleo
Michel Van Herp
César G. Albariño
Brian Amman
Alison Jane Basile
Scott Bearden
Jessica A. Belser
Eric Bergeron
Dianna Blau
Aaron C. Brault
Shelley Campbell
Mike Flint
Aridth Gibbons
Christin Goodman
Laura McMullan
Christopher D. Paddock
Brandy Russell
Johanna S. Salzer
Angela Sanchez
Tara Sealy
David Wang
Gbessay Saffa
Alhajie Turay
Stuart T. Nichol
Jonathan S. Towner
author_facet Samuel J. Crowe
Matthew J. Maenner
Solomon Kuah
Bobbie Rae Erickson
Megan Coffee
Barbara Knust
John D. Klena
Joyce Foday
Darren Hertz
Veerle Hermans
Jay Achar
Grazia M. Caleo
Michel Van Herp
César G. Albariño
Brian Amman
Alison Jane Basile
Scott Bearden
Jessica A. Belser
Eric Bergeron
Dianna Blau
Aaron C. Brault
Shelley Campbell
Mike Flint
Aridth Gibbons
Christin Goodman
Laura McMullan
Christopher D. Paddock
Brandy Russell
Johanna S. Salzer
Angela Sanchez
Tara Sealy
David Wang
Gbessay Saffa
Alhajie Turay
Stuart T. Nichol
Jonathan S. Towner
author_sort Samuel J. Crowe
collection DOAJ
description To determine whether 2 readily available indicators predicted survival among patients with Ebola virus disease in Sierra Leone, we evaluated information for 216 of the 227 patients in Bo District during a 4-month period. The indicators were time from symptom onset to healthcare facility admission and quantitative real-time reverse transcription PCR cycle threshold (Ct), a surrogate for viral load, in first Ebola virus–positive blood sample tested. Of these patients, 151 were alive when detected and had reported healthcare facility admission dates and Ct values available. Time from symptom onset to healthcare facility admission was not associated with survival, but viral load in the first Ebola virus–positive blood sample was inversely associated with survival: 52 (87%) of 60 patients with a Ct of >24 survived and 20 (22%) of 91 with a Ct of <24 survived. Ct values may be useful for clinicians making treatment decisions or managing patient or family expectations.
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spelling doaj.art-38723529c7a544eb8d13c63b2ad325382022-12-22T00:22:36ZengCenters for Disease Control and PreventionEmerging Infectious Diseases1080-60401080-60592016-02-0122221722310.3201/eid2202.151250Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient SurvivalSamuel J. CroweMatthew J. MaennerSolomon KuahBobbie Rae EricksonMegan CoffeeBarbara KnustJohn D. KlenaJoyce FodayDarren HertzVeerle HermansJay AcharGrazia M. CaleoMichel Van HerpCésar G. AlbariñoBrian AmmanAlison Jane BasileScott BeardenJessica A. BelserEric BergeronDianna BlauAaron C. BraultShelley CampbellMike FlintAridth GibbonsChristin GoodmanLaura McMullanChristopher D. PaddockBrandy RussellJohanna S. SalzerAngela SanchezTara SealyDavid WangGbessay SaffaAlhajie TurayStuart T. NicholJonathan S. TownerTo determine whether 2 readily available indicators predicted survival among patients with Ebola virus disease in Sierra Leone, we evaluated information for 216 of the 227 patients in Bo District during a 4-month period. The indicators were time from symptom onset to healthcare facility admission and quantitative real-time reverse transcription PCR cycle threshold (Ct), a surrogate for viral load, in first Ebola virus–positive blood sample tested. Of these patients, 151 were alive when detected and had reported healthcare facility admission dates and Ct values available. Time from symptom onset to healthcare facility admission was not associated with survival, but viral load in the first Ebola virus–positive blood sample was inversely associated with survival: 52 (87%) of 60 patients with a Ct of >24 survived and 20 (22%) of 91 with a Ct of <24 survived. Ct values may be useful for clinicians making treatment decisions or managing patient or family expectations.https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/2/15-1250_articleEbola virus diseasehemorrhagic feversurvivalprognosisSierra Leoneviruses
spellingShingle Samuel J. Crowe
Matthew J. Maenner
Solomon Kuah
Bobbie Rae Erickson
Megan Coffee
Barbara Knust
John D. Klena
Joyce Foday
Darren Hertz
Veerle Hermans
Jay Achar
Grazia M. Caleo
Michel Van Herp
César G. Albariño
Brian Amman
Alison Jane Basile
Scott Bearden
Jessica A. Belser
Eric Bergeron
Dianna Blau
Aaron C. Brault
Shelley Campbell
Mike Flint
Aridth Gibbons
Christin Goodman
Laura McMullan
Christopher D. Paddock
Brandy Russell
Johanna S. Salzer
Angela Sanchez
Tara Sealy
David Wang
Gbessay Saffa
Alhajie Turay
Stuart T. Nichol
Jonathan S. Towner
Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Ebola virus disease
hemorrhagic fever
survival
prognosis
Sierra Leone
viruses
title Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival
title_full Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival
title_fullStr Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival
title_full_unstemmed Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival
title_short Prognostic Indicators for Ebola Patient Survival
title_sort prognostic indicators for ebola patient survival
topic Ebola virus disease
hemorrhagic fever
survival
prognosis
Sierra Leone
viruses
url https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/2/15-1250_article
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