The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data

Abstract Background Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are a design used to test interventions where individual randomization is not appropriate. The mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) is a popular choice for individually randomized trials with longitudinal continuous outcomes. This model’s appe...

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Main Authors: Melanie L. Bell, Brooke A. Rabe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-02-01
Series:Trials
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-020-4114-9
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author Melanie L. Bell
Brooke A. Rabe
author_facet Melanie L. Bell
Brooke A. Rabe
author_sort Melanie L. Bell
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are a design used to test interventions where individual randomization is not appropriate. The mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) is a popular choice for individually randomized trials with longitudinal continuous outcomes. This model’s appeal is due to avoidance of model misspecification and its unbiasedness for data missing completely at random or at random. Methods We extended the MMRM to cluster randomized trials by adding a random intercept for the cluster and undertook a simulation experiment to investigate statistical properties when data are missing at random. We simulated cluster randomized trial data where the outcome was continuous and measured at baseline and three post-intervention time points. We varied the number of clusters, the cluster size, the intra-cluster correlation, missingness and the data-generation models. We demonstrate the MMRM-CRT with an example of a cluster randomized trial on cardiovascular disease prevention among diabetics. Results When simulating a treatment effect at the final time point we found that estimates were unbiased when data were complete and when data were missing at random. Variance components were also largely unbiased. When simulating under the null, we found that type I error was largely nominal, although for a few specific cases it was as high as 0.081. Conclusions Although there have been assertions that this model is inappropriate when there are more than two repeated measures on subjects, we found evidence to the contrary. We conclude that the MMRM for CRTs is a good analytic choice for cluster randomized trials with a continuous outcome measured longitudinally. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, ID: NCT02804698.
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spelling doaj.art-38ba22016e4943908a3052580e16ec6c2022-12-21T22:02:56ZengBMCTrials1745-62152020-02-0121111010.1186/s13063-020-4114-9The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous dataMelanie L. Bell0Brooke A. Rabe1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, University of ArizonaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, University of ArizonaAbstract Background Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are a design used to test interventions where individual randomization is not appropriate. The mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) is a popular choice for individually randomized trials with longitudinal continuous outcomes. This model’s appeal is due to avoidance of model misspecification and its unbiasedness for data missing completely at random or at random. Methods We extended the MMRM to cluster randomized trials by adding a random intercept for the cluster and undertook a simulation experiment to investigate statistical properties when data are missing at random. We simulated cluster randomized trial data where the outcome was continuous and measured at baseline and three post-intervention time points. We varied the number of clusters, the cluster size, the intra-cluster correlation, missingness and the data-generation models. We demonstrate the MMRM-CRT with an example of a cluster randomized trial on cardiovascular disease prevention among diabetics. Results When simulating a treatment effect at the final time point we found that estimates were unbiased when data were complete and when data were missing at random. Variance components were also largely unbiased. When simulating under the null, we found that type I error was largely nominal, although for a few specific cases it was as high as 0.081. Conclusions Although there have been assertions that this model is inappropriate when there are more than two repeated measures on subjects, we found evidence to the contrary. We conclude that the MMRM for CRTs is a good analytic choice for cluster randomized trials with a continuous outcome measured longitudinally. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, ID: NCT02804698.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-020-4114-9Missing dataDropoutVariance componentsIntention-to-treatCluster trialsGroup randomized trials
spellingShingle Melanie L. Bell
Brooke A. Rabe
The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data
Trials
Missing data
Dropout
Variance components
Intention-to-treat
Cluster trials
Group randomized trials
title The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data
title_full The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data
title_fullStr The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data
title_full_unstemmed The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data
title_short The mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials: a simulation study investigating bias and type I error with missing continuous data
title_sort mixed model for repeated measures for cluster randomized trials a simulation study investigating bias and type i error with missing continuous data
topic Missing data
Dropout
Variance components
Intention-to-treat
Cluster trials
Group randomized trials
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-020-4114-9
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