Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing

<p>We use model simulations from the CESM1-CAM5-BGC-LE dataset to characterise the Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability both spatially and temporally. These properties, and their stationarity, are investigated in three different contexts: (1) constant pre-industrial, (2) historical an...

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Main Authors: G. Van Achter, L. Ponsoni, F. Massonnet, T. Fichefet, V. Legat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-10-01
Series:The Cryosphere
Online Access:https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/14/3479/2020/tc-14-3479-2020.pdf
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author G. Van Achter
L. Ponsoni
F. Massonnet
T. Fichefet
V. Legat
author_facet G. Van Achter
L. Ponsoni
F. Massonnet
T. Fichefet
V. Legat
author_sort G. Van Achter
collection DOAJ
description <p>We use model simulations from the CESM1-CAM5-BGC-LE dataset to characterise the Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability both spatially and temporally. These properties, and their stationarity, are investigated in three different contexts: (1) constant pre-industrial, (2) historical and (3) projected conditions. Spatial modes of variability show highly stationary patterns regardless of the forcing and mean state. A temporal analysis reveals two peaks of significant variability, and despite a non-stationarity on short timescales, they remain more or less stable until the first half of the 21st century, where they start to change once summer ice-free events occur, after 2050.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-38cbbdbff59c4b07af9dd0f845737a532022-12-22T00:29:49ZengCopernicus PublicationsThe Cryosphere1994-04161994-04242020-10-01143479348610.5194/tc-14-3479-2020Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcingG. Van Achter0L. Ponsoni1F. Massonnet2T. Fichefet3V. Legat4Georges Lemaitre Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiumGeorges Lemaitre Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiumGeorges Lemaitre Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiumGeorges Lemaitre Center for Earth and Climate Research, Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiumInstitute of Mechanics, Materials and Civil Engineering, Applied Mechanics and Mathematics, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium<p>We use model simulations from the CESM1-CAM5-BGC-LE dataset to characterise the Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability both spatially and temporally. These properties, and their stationarity, are investigated in three different contexts: (1) constant pre-industrial, (2) historical and (3) projected conditions. Spatial modes of variability show highly stationary patterns regardless of the forcing and mean state. A temporal analysis reveals two peaks of significant variability, and despite a non-stationarity on short timescales, they remain more or less stable until the first half of the 21st century, where they start to change once summer ice-free events occur, after 2050.</p>https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/14/3479/2020/tc-14-3479-2020.pdf
spellingShingle G. Van Achter
L. Ponsoni
F. Massonnet
T. Fichefet
V. Legat
Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
The Cryosphere
title Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
title_full Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
title_fullStr Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
title_full_unstemmed Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
title_short Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
title_sort brief communication arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
url https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/14/3479/2020/tc-14-3479-2020.pdf
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