The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy

Abstract Background Currently, no biomarkers can accurately predict survival outcomes in patients with SCLC undergoing treatment. Tumor growth rate (TGR; percent size change per month [%/m]) is suggested as an imaging predictor of response to anti‐cancer treatment. We aimed to evaluate the predictiv...

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Main Authors: Xiang Chen, Xueyuan Chen, Tingting Liu, Ting Zhou, Gang Chen, Huaqiang Zhou, Yan Huang, Wenfeng Fang, Yunpeng Yang, Ningning Zhou, Likun Chen, Silang Mo, Li Zhang, Yuanyuan Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-04-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5611
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author Xiang Chen
Xueyuan Chen
Tingting Liu
Ting Zhou
Gang Chen
Huaqiang Zhou
Yan Huang
Wenfeng Fang
Yunpeng Yang
Ningning Zhou
Likun Chen
Silang Mo
Li Zhang
Yuanyuan Zhao
author_facet Xiang Chen
Xueyuan Chen
Tingting Liu
Ting Zhou
Gang Chen
Huaqiang Zhou
Yan Huang
Wenfeng Fang
Yunpeng Yang
Ningning Zhou
Likun Chen
Silang Mo
Li Zhang
Yuanyuan Zhao
author_sort Xiang Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Currently, no biomarkers can accurately predict survival outcomes in patients with SCLC undergoing treatment. Tumor growth rate (TGR; percent size change per month [%/m]) is suggested as an imaging predictor of response to anti‐cancer treatment. We aimed to evaluate the predictive role of the maximum TGR (TGRmax) for outcomes of small‐cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment. Methods Patients with SCLC receiving first‐line chemotherapy plus immunotherapy were analyzed within this retrospective study. The X‐tile program was used to identify the cut‐off value of TGRmax based on maximum progression‐free survival (PFS) stratification. The Kaplan–Meier methods and Cox regression models were used to evaluate the effect of the presence of TGRmax on PFS and overall survival (OS). Results In total, 104 patients were evaluated. Median (range) TGRmax was −33.9 (−65.2 to 21.6) %/m and the optimal cut‐off value of TGRmax was −34.3%/m. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that patients with TGRmax > −34.3%/m was associated with shorter PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.81; 95% CI, 1.71–4.63; p < 0.001) and OS (HR, 3.17; 95% CI, 1.41–7.08; p = 0.005). In patients who received partial response (PR), Kaplan–Meier survival analyses showed that superior PFS and OS (p = 0.005 and p = 0.009, respectively) benefit was observed when TGRmax ≤−34.3%/m. Conclusions SCLC patients with TGRmax > −34.3%/m had worse PFS and OS in first‐line ICI plus platin‐based chemotherapy. TGRmax could independently serve as an early biomarker to predict the benefit from chemoimmunotherapy.
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spelling doaj.art-38d96db998cc4b999c54f0ee90dc1cf92023-04-27T10:12:43ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342023-04-011278122813310.1002/cam4.5611The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapyXiang Chen0Xueyuan Chen1Tingting Liu2Ting Zhou3Gang Chen4Huaqiang Zhou5Yan Huang6Wenfeng Fang7Yunpeng Yang8Ningning Zhou9Likun Chen10Silang Mo11Li Zhang12Yuanyuan Zhao13Medical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaMedical Oncology Department Sun Yat‐Sen University Cancer Center Guangzhou ChinaAbstract Background Currently, no biomarkers can accurately predict survival outcomes in patients with SCLC undergoing treatment. Tumor growth rate (TGR; percent size change per month [%/m]) is suggested as an imaging predictor of response to anti‐cancer treatment. We aimed to evaluate the predictive role of the maximum TGR (TGRmax) for outcomes of small‐cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment. Methods Patients with SCLC receiving first‐line chemotherapy plus immunotherapy were analyzed within this retrospective study. The X‐tile program was used to identify the cut‐off value of TGRmax based on maximum progression‐free survival (PFS) stratification. The Kaplan–Meier methods and Cox regression models were used to evaluate the effect of the presence of TGRmax on PFS and overall survival (OS). Results In total, 104 patients were evaluated. Median (range) TGRmax was −33.9 (−65.2 to 21.6) %/m and the optimal cut‐off value of TGRmax was −34.3%/m. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that patients with TGRmax > −34.3%/m was associated with shorter PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.81; 95% CI, 1.71–4.63; p < 0.001) and OS (HR, 3.17; 95% CI, 1.41–7.08; p = 0.005). In patients who received partial response (PR), Kaplan–Meier survival analyses showed that superior PFS and OS (p = 0.005 and p = 0.009, respectively) benefit was observed when TGRmax ≤−34.3%/m. Conclusions SCLC patients with TGRmax > −34.3%/m had worse PFS and OS in first‐line ICI plus platin‐based chemotherapy. TGRmax could independently serve as an early biomarker to predict the benefit from chemoimmunotherapy.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5611chemoimmunotherapyfirst‐line treatmentSCLCsmall cell lung cancersurvivaltumor growth rate
spellingShingle Xiang Chen
Xueyuan Chen
Tingting Liu
Ting Zhou
Gang Chen
Huaqiang Zhou
Yan Huang
Wenfeng Fang
Yunpeng Yang
Ningning Zhou
Likun Chen
Silang Mo
Li Zhang
Yuanyuan Zhao
The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy
Cancer Medicine
chemoimmunotherapy
first‐line treatment
SCLC
small cell lung cancer
survival
tumor growth rate
title The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy
title_full The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy
title_fullStr The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy
title_full_unstemmed The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy
title_short The maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small‐cell lung cancer undergoing first‐line chemotherapy plus immune‐checkpoint inhibitor therapy
title_sort maximum tumor growth rate predicts clinical outcomes of patients with small cell lung cancer undergoing first line chemotherapy plus immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy
topic chemoimmunotherapy
first‐line treatment
SCLC
small cell lung cancer
survival
tumor growth rate
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5611
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