Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption
China has experienced dramatic changes in food consumption patterns over the last three decades. However, there are different opinions regarding the future trends in consumption. By adopting the well-developed partial equilibrium model—China Agricultural Policy Simulation Model (CAPSiM), the demand...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2015-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Integrative Agriculture |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311914609928 |
| _version_ | 1818865345487699968 |
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| author | Wan-lu DONG Xiao-bing WANG Jun YANG |
| author_facet | Wan-lu DONG Xiao-bing WANG Jun YANG |
| author_sort | Wan-lu DONG |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | China has experienced dramatic changes in food consumption patterns over the last three decades. However, there are different opinions regarding the future trends in consumption. By adopting the well-developed partial equilibrium model—China Agricultural Policy Simulation Model (CAPSiM), the demand for livestock products and the main feed crops over 2011–2030 is predicted and analyzed. It is found that China's per capita consumption of livestock products will continue to rise during this period, even though its growth rate will slow down gradually. Meanwhile, the expansion of livestock production will pose great challenges for feed supply in China. More accurately, China will be confronted with feed security rather than grain security in the future. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-19T10:46:04Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3953e00c5b244c50bbcac8a5e6ca1ace |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2095-3119 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-19T10:46:04Z |
| publishDate | 2015-06-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Integrative Agriculture |
| spelling | doaj.art-3953e00c5b244c50bbcac8a5e6ca1ace2022-12-21T20:25:15ZengElsevierJournal of Integrative Agriculture2095-31192015-06-0114610921100Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumptionWan-lu DONG0Xiao-bing WANG1Jun YANG2Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, P.R.China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, P.R.ChinaCenter for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, P.R.China; Correspondence WANG Xiao-bingSchool of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, P.R.ChinaChina has experienced dramatic changes in food consumption patterns over the last three decades. However, there are different opinions regarding the future trends in consumption. By adopting the well-developed partial equilibrium model—China Agricultural Policy Simulation Model (CAPSiM), the demand for livestock products and the main feed crops over 2011–2030 is predicted and analyzed. It is found that China's per capita consumption of livestock products will continue to rise during this period, even though its growth rate will slow down gradually. Meanwhile, the expansion of livestock production will pose great challenges for feed supply in China. More accurately, China will be confronted with feed security rather than grain security in the future.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311914609928feed demandfood consumption patternpartial equilibrium model |
| spellingShingle | Wan-lu DONG Xiao-bing WANG Jun YANG Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption Journal of Integrative Agriculture feed demand food consumption pattern partial equilibrium model |
| title | Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption |
| title_full | Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption |
| title_fullStr | Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption |
| title_short | Future perspective of China's feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption |
| title_sort | future perspective of china s feed demand and supply during its fast transition period of food consumption |
| topic | feed demand food consumption pattern partial equilibrium model |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311914609928 |
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