Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study

Given the substantial economic damage caused by the continual circulation of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks since 2003, identifying high-risk locations associated with HPAI infections is essential. In this study, using affected and unaffected poultry farms’ locations during an HP...

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Main Authors: Saleem Ahmad, Kye-Young Koh, Dae-Sung Yoo, Jae-Il Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-03-01
Series:Veterinary Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2306-7381/9/3/135
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author Saleem Ahmad
Kye-Young Koh
Dae-Sung Yoo
Jae-Il Lee
author_facet Saleem Ahmad
Kye-Young Koh
Dae-Sung Yoo
Jae-Il Lee
author_sort Saleem Ahmad
collection DOAJ
description Given the substantial economic damage caused by the continual circulation of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks since 2003, identifying high-risk locations associated with HPAI infections is essential. In this study, using affected and unaffected poultry farms’ locations during an HPAI H5N6 epidemic in South Korea, we identified places where clusters of HPAI cases were found. Hotspots were defined as regions having clusters of HPAI cases. With the help of the statistical computer program R, a kernel density estimate and a spatial scan statistic were employed for this purpose. A kernel density estimate and detection of significant clusters through a spatial scan statistic both showed that districts in the Chungcheongbuk-do, Jeollabuk-do, and Jeollanam-do provinces are more vulnerable to HPAI outbreaks. Prior to the migration season, high-risk districts should implement particular biosecurity measures. High biosecurity measures, as well as improving the cleanliness of the poultry environment, would undoubtedly aid in the prevention of HPAIV transmission to poultry farms in these high-risk regions of South Korea.
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spelling doaj.art-3981a95c34ed476ab62c37481df3a25e2023-11-30T22:44:39ZengMDPI AGVeterinary Sciences2306-73812022-03-019313510.3390/vetsci9030135Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control StudySaleem Ahmad0Kye-Young Koh1Dae-Sung Yoo2Jae-Il Lee3Veterinary Public Health Lab, College of Veterinary Medicine, Chonnam National University, Gwangju 61186, KoreaVeterinary Public Health Lab, College of Veterinary Medicine, Chonnam National University, Gwangju 61186, KoreaAnimal and Plant Quarantine Agency, Gimcheon 39660, KoreaVeterinary Public Health Lab, College of Veterinary Medicine, Chonnam National University, Gwangju 61186, KoreaGiven the substantial economic damage caused by the continual circulation of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks since 2003, identifying high-risk locations associated with HPAI infections is essential. In this study, using affected and unaffected poultry farms’ locations during an HPAI H5N6 epidemic in South Korea, we identified places where clusters of HPAI cases were found. Hotspots were defined as regions having clusters of HPAI cases. With the help of the statistical computer program R, a kernel density estimate and a spatial scan statistic were employed for this purpose. A kernel density estimate and detection of significant clusters through a spatial scan statistic both showed that districts in the Chungcheongbuk-do, Jeollabuk-do, and Jeollanam-do provinces are more vulnerable to HPAI outbreaks. Prior to the migration season, high-risk districts should implement particular biosecurity measures. High biosecurity measures, as well as improving the cleanliness of the poultry environment, would undoubtedly aid in the prevention of HPAIV transmission to poultry farms in these high-risk regions of South Korea.https://www.mdpi.com/2306-7381/9/3/135highly pathogenic avian influenzahotspotskernel density estimatespatial scan statisticclusters
spellingShingle Saleem Ahmad
Kye-Young Koh
Dae-Sung Yoo
Jae-Il Lee
Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study
Veterinary Sciences
highly pathogenic avian influenza
hotspots
kernel density estimate
spatial scan statistic
clusters
title Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study
title_full Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study
title_fullStr Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study
title_full_unstemmed Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study
title_short Spatial Variation in Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Subtype H5N6 Viral Infections in South Korea: Poultry Population-Based Case–Control Study
title_sort spatial variation in risk for highly pathogenic avian influenza subtype h5n6 viral infections in south korea poultry population based case control study
topic highly pathogenic avian influenza
hotspots
kernel density estimate
spatial scan statistic
clusters
url https://www.mdpi.com/2306-7381/9/3/135
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