Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden

Abstract National emission reduction targets under the Paris Agreement have a territorial focus, incentivizing mitigation actions domestically. Here we examine the theoretical basis for adopting complementary consumption-based net-zero emission targets and assess the consequences of adopting such pr...

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Main Authors: Johannes Morfeldt, Jörgen Larsson, David Andersson, Daniel J. A. Johansson, Johan Rootzén, Cecilia Hult, Ida Karlsson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-09-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01012-z
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author Johannes Morfeldt
Jörgen Larsson
David Andersson
Daniel J. A. Johansson
Johan Rootzén
Cecilia Hult
Ida Karlsson
author_facet Johannes Morfeldt
Jörgen Larsson
David Andersson
Daniel J. A. Johansson
Johan Rootzén
Cecilia Hult
Ida Karlsson
author_sort Johannes Morfeldt
collection DOAJ
description Abstract National emission reduction targets under the Paris Agreement have a territorial focus, incentivizing mitigation actions domestically. Here we examine the theoretical basis for adopting complementary consumption-based net-zero emission targets and assess the consequences of adopting such proposed targets for Sweden. We apply scenario analyses based on a prospective lifecycle assessment framework. The framework is a hybrid of bottom-up simulations for passenger travel, construction and housing, and food, and top-down analyses for remaining consumption. In this work, we show how consumption-based climate targets may accentuate the need for new demand-side climate policies that contribute to reducing emissions along supply chains of products and services. Our scenario analysis suggests that combining advanced mitigation technologies with behavioral changes could reduce emissions from 9.8 tons of carbon dioxide equivalents per capita in 2019 to between 2.7 and 4.8 tons by 2045 for Swedish residents, depending on global decarbonization pathways.
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spelling doaj.art-3985639ece4649538c99307f185acee52023-11-20T11:02:52ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352023-09-014111410.1038/s43247-023-01012-zEmission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in SwedenJohannes Morfeldt0Jörgen Larsson1David Andersson2Daniel J. A. Johansson3Johan Rootzén4Cecilia Hult5Ida Karlsson6Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyIVL Swedish Environmental Research InstituteDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyAbstract National emission reduction targets under the Paris Agreement have a territorial focus, incentivizing mitigation actions domestically. Here we examine the theoretical basis for adopting complementary consumption-based net-zero emission targets and assess the consequences of adopting such proposed targets for Sweden. We apply scenario analyses based on a prospective lifecycle assessment framework. The framework is a hybrid of bottom-up simulations for passenger travel, construction and housing, and food, and top-down analyses for remaining consumption. In this work, we show how consumption-based climate targets may accentuate the need for new demand-side climate policies that contribute to reducing emissions along supply chains of products and services. Our scenario analysis suggests that combining advanced mitigation technologies with behavioral changes could reduce emissions from 9.8 tons of carbon dioxide equivalents per capita in 2019 to between 2.7 and 4.8 tons by 2045 for Swedish residents, depending on global decarbonization pathways.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01012-z
spellingShingle Johannes Morfeldt
Jörgen Larsson
David Andersson
Daniel J. A. Johansson
Johan Rootzén
Cecilia Hult
Ida Karlsson
Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
Communications Earth & Environment
title Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
title_full Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
title_fullStr Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
title_full_unstemmed Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
title_short Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
title_sort emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption based climate targets in sweden
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01012-z
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