Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden
Abstract National emission reduction targets under the Paris Agreement have a territorial focus, incentivizing mitigation actions domestically. Here we examine the theoretical basis for adopting complementary consumption-based net-zero emission targets and assess the consequences of adopting such pr...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2023-09-01
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Series: | Communications Earth & Environment |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01012-z |
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author | Johannes Morfeldt Jörgen Larsson David Andersson Daniel J. A. Johansson Johan Rootzén Cecilia Hult Ida Karlsson |
author_facet | Johannes Morfeldt Jörgen Larsson David Andersson Daniel J. A. Johansson Johan Rootzén Cecilia Hult Ida Karlsson |
author_sort | Johannes Morfeldt |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract National emission reduction targets under the Paris Agreement have a territorial focus, incentivizing mitigation actions domestically. Here we examine the theoretical basis for adopting complementary consumption-based net-zero emission targets and assess the consequences of adopting such proposed targets for Sweden. We apply scenario analyses based on a prospective lifecycle assessment framework. The framework is a hybrid of bottom-up simulations for passenger travel, construction and housing, and food, and top-down analyses for remaining consumption. In this work, we show how consumption-based climate targets may accentuate the need for new demand-side climate policies that contribute to reducing emissions along supply chains of products and services. Our scenario analysis suggests that combining advanced mitigation technologies with behavioral changes could reduce emissions from 9.8 tons of carbon dioxide equivalents per capita in 2019 to between 2.7 and 4.8 tons by 2045 for Swedish residents, depending on global decarbonization pathways. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-10T16:58:45Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-3985639ece4649538c99307f185acee5 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2662-4435 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-10T16:58:45Z |
publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
publisher | Nature Portfolio |
record_format | Article |
series | Communications Earth & Environment |
spelling | doaj.art-3985639ece4649538c99307f185acee52023-11-20T11:02:52ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352023-09-014111410.1038/s43247-023-01012-zEmission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in SwedenJohannes Morfeldt0Jörgen Larsson1David Andersson2Daniel J. A. Johansson3Johan Rootzén4Cecilia Hult5Ida Karlsson6Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyIVL Swedish Environmental Research InstituteDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of TechnologyAbstract National emission reduction targets under the Paris Agreement have a territorial focus, incentivizing mitigation actions domestically. Here we examine the theoretical basis for adopting complementary consumption-based net-zero emission targets and assess the consequences of adopting such proposed targets for Sweden. We apply scenario analyses based on a prospective lifecycle assessment framework. The framework is a hybrid of bottom-up simulations for passenger travel, construction and housing, and food, and top-down analyses for remaining consumption. In this work, we show how consumption-based climate targets may accentuate the need for new demand-side climate policies that contribute to reducing emissions along supply chains of products and services. Our scenario analysis suggests that combining advanced mitigation technologies with behavioral changes could reduce emissions from 9.8 tons of carbon dioxide equivalents per capita in 2019 to between 2.7 and 4.8 tons by 2045 for Swedish residents, depending on global decarbonization pathways.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01012-z |
spellingShingle | Johannes Morfeldt Jörgen Larsson David Andersson Daniel J. A. Johansson Johan Rootzén Cecilia Hult Ida Karlsson Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden Communications Earth & Environment |
title | Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden |
title_full | Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden |
title_fullStr | Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden |
title_full_unstemmed | Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden |
title_short | Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden |
title_sort | emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption based climate targets in sweden |
url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01012-z |
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