A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course

The objective of this work is to present a methodology that automates the prediction of students’ academic performance at the end of the course using data recorded in the first tasks of the academic year. Analyzing early student records is helpful in predicting their later results; which is useful,...

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Main Authors: Alicia Nieto-Reyes, Rafael Duque, Giacomo Francisci
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-10-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/21/2677
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author Alicia Nieto-Reyes
Rafael Duque
Giacomo Francisci
author_facet Alicia Nieto-Reyes
Rafael Duque
Giacomo Francisci
author_sort Alicia Nieto-Reyes
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this work is to present a methodology that automates the prediction of students’ academic performance at the end of the course using data recorded in the first tasks of the academic year. Analyzing early student records is helpful in predicting their later results; which is useful, for instance, for an early intervention. With this aim, we propose a methodology based on the random Tukey depth and a non-parametric kernel. This methodology allows teachers and evaluators to define the variables that they consider most appropriate to measure those aspects related to the academic performance of students. The methodology is applied to a real case study obtaining a success rate in the predictions of over the 80%. The case study was carried out in the field of Human-computer Interaction.The results indicate that the methodology could be of special interest to develop software systems that process the data generated by computer-supported learning systems and to warn the teacher of the need to adopt intervention mechanisms when low academic performance is predicted.
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spelling doaj.art-39d9f7bfc5a8487485d731fc74e5d0452023-11-22T21:17:14ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902021-10-01921267710.3390/math9212677A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the CourseAlicia Nieto-Reyes0Rafael Duque1Giacomo Francisci2Department of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of Cantabria, 39005 Santander, SpainDepartment of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of Cantabria, 39005 Santander, SpainDepartment of Mathematics, University of Trento, 38122 Trento, ItalyThe objective of this work is to present a methodology that automates the prediction of students’ academic performance at the end of the course using data recorded in the first tasks of the academic year. Analyzing early student records is helpful in predicting their later results; which is useful, for instance, for an early intervention. With this aim, we propose a methodology based on the random Tukey depth and a non-parametric kernel. This methodology allows teachers and evaluators to define the variables that they consider most appropriate to measure those aspects related to the academic performance of students. The methodology is applied to a real case study obtaining a success rate in the predictions of over the 80%. The case study was carried out in the field of Human-computer Interaction.The results indicate that the methodology could be of special interest to develop software systems that process the data generated by computer-supported learning systems and to warn the teacher of the need to adopt intervention mechanisms when low academic performance is predicted.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/21/2677computer-supported cooperative learningnon-parametric statisticspredictive methodsstatistical data depthsupervised classificationrandom methods
spellingShingle Alicia Nieto-Reyes
Rafael Duque
Giacomo Francisci
A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course
Mathematics
computer-supported cooperative learning
non-parametric statistics
predictive methods
statistical data depth
supervised classification
random methods
title A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course
title_full A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course
title_fullStr A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course
title_full_unstemmed A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course
title_short A Method to Automate the Prediction of Student Academic Performance from Early Stages of the Course
title_sort method to automate the prediction of student academic performance from early stages of the course
topic computer-supported cooperative learning
non-parametric statistics
predictive methods
statistical data depth
supervised classification
random methods
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/21/2677
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