Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications

Estimating amounts of change in forest resources over time is a key function of most national forest inventories (NFI). As this information is used broadly for many management and policy purposes, it is imperative that accurate estimations are made from the survey sample. Robust sampling designs are...

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Main Authors: James A. Westfall, Mark D. Nelson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2023-01-01
Series:Forest Ecosystems
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2197562023000143
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author James A. Westfall
Mark D. Nelson
author_facet James A. Westfall
Mark D. Nelson
author_sort James A. Westfall
collection DOAJ
description Estimating amounts of change in forest resources over time is a key function of most national forest inventories (NFI). As this information is used broadly for many management and policy purposes, it is imperative that accurate estimations are made from the survey sample. Robust sampling designs are often used to help ensure representation of the population, but often the full sample is unrealized due to hazardous conditions or possibly lack of land access permission. Potentially, bias may be imparted to the sample if the nonresponse is nonrandom with respect to forest characteristics, which becomes more difficult to assess for change estimation methods that require measurements of the same sample plots at two points in time, i.e., remeasurement. To examine potential nonresponse bias in change estimates, two synthetic populations were constructed: 1) a typical NFI population consisting of both forest and nonforest plots, and 2) a population that mimics a large catastrophic disturbance event within a forested population. Comparisons of estimates under various nonresponse scenarios were made using a standard implementation of post-stratified estimation as well as an alternative approach that groups plots having similar response probabilities (response homogeneity). When using the post-stratified estimators, the amount of change was overestimated for the NFI population and was underestimated for the disturbance population, whereas the response homogeneity approach produced nearly unbiased estimates under the assumption of equal response probability within groups. These outcomes suggest that formal strategies may be needed to obtain accurate change estimates in the presence of nonrandom nonresponse.
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spelling doaj.art-39f5b877ea8f4ce085d9a5158fc5a3c42023-12-22T05:32:29ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Forest Ecosystems2197-56202023-01-0110100099Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classificationsJames A. Westfall0Mark D. Nelson1U.S. Forest Service, Northern Research Station, York, PA, USA; Corresponding author.U.S. Forest Service, Northern Research Station, St. Paul, MN, USAEstimating amounts of change in forest resources over time is a key function of most national forest inventories (NFI). As this information is used broadly for many management and policy purposes, it is imperative that accurate estimations are made from the survey sample. Robust sampling designs are often used to help ensure representation of the population, but often the full sample is unrealized due to hazardous conditions or possibly lack of land access permission. Potentially, bias may be imparted to the sample if the nonresponse is nonrandom with respect to forest characteristics, which becomes more difficult to assess for change estimation methods that require measurements of the same sample plots at two points in time, i.e., remeasurement. To examine potential nonresponse bias in change estimates, two synthetic populations were constructed: 1) a typical NFI population consisting of both forest and nonforest plots, and 2) a population that mimics a large catastrophic disturbance event within a forested population. Comparisons of estimates under various nonresponse scenarios were made using a standard implementation of post-stratified estimation as well as an alternative approach that groups plots having similar response probabilities (response homogeneity). When using the post-stratified estimators, the amount of change was overestimated for the NFI population and was underestimated for the disturbance population, whereas the response homogeneity approach produced nearly unbiased estimates under the assumption of equal response probability within groups. These outcomes suggest that formal strategies may be needed to obtain accurate change estimates in the presence of nonrandom nonresponse.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2197562023000143DisturbancePost-stratificationLand use conversionSample bias
spellingShingle James A. Westfall
Mark D. Nelson
Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
Forest Ecosystems
Disturbance
Post-stratification
Land use conversion
Sample bias
title Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
title_full Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
title_fullStr Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
title_full_unstemmed Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
title_short Addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
title_sort addressing nonresponse bias in forest inventory change estimation using response homogeneity classifications
topic Disturbance
Post-stratification
Land use conversion
Sample bias
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2197562023000143
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