A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study
Background: The dependency ratio (DR) is defined as the ratio of the non-working population to the economically active population. Dependency ratio is calculated by the sum of population under fifteen years and over 65 years divided by 15-64 year old population. The interpretation of DR variation gi...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Shiraz University of Medical Sciences
2015-07-01
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| Series: | Journal of Health Sciences and Surveillance System |
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| Online Access: | http://jhsss.sums.ac.ir/article_42783_b31478553dc5d83a7e8de29fde09133a.pdf |
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| author | Alireza Mirahmadizadeh Mitra Rahimi Haghighi Pegah Shoa Hagighi Abdolrasool Hemmati Mohsen Moghadami |
| author_facet | Alireza Mirahmadizadeh Mitra Rahimi Haghighi Pegah Shoa Hagighi Abdolrasool Hemmati Mohsen Moghadami |
| author_sort | Alireza Mirahmadizadeh |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: The dependency ratio (DR) is defined as the ratio of the non-working population to the economically active population. Dependency ratio is calculated by the sum of population under fifteen years and over 65 years divided by 15-64 year old population. The interpretation of DR variation gives us the impact of health care services and some reproductive interventions. This study analyzed a 23-year DR trend in rural population of Fars province and the effect of some fertility variables on it. Methods: In this study, using data from vital horoscope and regression analysis, we analyzed a 23-year period of DR and some fertility indicators. Results: The total DR significantly declined from 102.5% in 1990 to 41.4% in 2012 (P<0.001). Most of this reduction is attributed to reduction in young DR. Old dependency ratio (population of 65 years and more) was significantly growing (P<0.035). Number of rural health house, family planning coverage, total fertility rate and general fertility rate was significantly associated with total dependency ratio (P<0.009). Conclusion: We passed the first stage of demographic transition, i.e. young dependency ratio declining. But the old dependency ratio slowly increased; it is recommended that the health care services should be promoted in future, especially services for old age people. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-20T19:15:26Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-39fc63569b9143f49e9dc38589f01ae8 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2345-2218 2345-3893 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-20T19:15:26Z |
| publishDate | 2015-07-01 |
| publisher | Shiraz University of Medical Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Health Sciences and Surveillance System |
| spelling | doaj.art-39fc63569b9143f49e9dc38589f01ae82022-12-21T19:29:07ZengShiraz University of Medical SciencesJournal of Health Sciences and Surveillance System2345-22182345-38932015-07-013310711242783A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis StudyAlireza Mirahmadizadeh0Mitra Rahimi Haghighi1Pegah Shoa Hagighi2Abdolrasool Hemmati3Mohsen Moghadami4Research Center for Health Sciences, Department of Epidemiology, School of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran;Expert of Health Affairs, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran;Expert of Vital Horoscope, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz Iran;Vice-Chancellor of Health Affairs, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran;HIV/AIDS Research Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, IranBackground: The dependency ratio (DR) is defined as the ratio of the non-working population to the economically active population. Dependency ratio is calculated by the sum of population under fifteen years and over 65 years divided by 15-64 year old population. The interpretation of DR variation gives us the impact of health care services and some reproductive interventions. This study analyzed a 23-year DR trend in rural population of Fars province and the effect of some fertility variables on it. Methods: In this study, using data from vital horoscope and regression analysis, we analyzed a 23-year period of DR and some fertility indicators. Results: The total DR significantly declined from 102.5% in 1990 to 41.4% in 2012 (P<0.001). Most of this reduction is attributed to reduction in young DR. Old dependency ratio (population of 65 years and more) was significantly growing (P<0.035). Number of rural health house, family planning coverage, total fertility rate and general fertility rate was significantly associated with total dependency ratio (P<0.009). Conclusion: We passed the first stage of demographic transition, i.e. young dependency ratio declining. But the old dependency ratio slowly increased; it is recommended that the health care services should be promoted in future, especially services for old age people.http://jhsss.sums.ac.ir/article_42783_b31478553dc5d83a7e8de29fde09133a.pdfTrend analysisDependency ratioFertilityHealth services |
| spellingShingle | Alireza Mirahmadizadeh Mitra Rahimi Haghighi Pegah Shoa Hagighi Abdolrasool Hemmati Mohsen Moghadami A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study Journal of Health Sciences and Surveillance System Trend analysis Dependency ratio Fertility Health services |
| title | A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study |
| title_full | A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study |
| title_fullStr | A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study |
| title_full_unstemmed | A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study |
| title_short | A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study |
| title_sort | 23 year analysis of dependency ratio in rural population in fars province during 1990 2012 a trend analysis study |
| topic | Trend analysis Dependency ratio Fertility Health services |
| url | http://jhsss.sums.ac.ir/article_42783_b31478553dc5d83a7e8de29fde09133a.pdf |
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