Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank

The nature and characteristics of free-burning wildland fires have significant economic, safety, and environmental impacts. Additionally, the increase in global warming has led to an increase in the number and severity of wildfires. Hence, there is an increasing need for accurately calculating the p...

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Main Authors: Wei-Chang Yeh, Chia-Chen Kuo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/23/8349
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author Wei-Chang Yeh
Chia-Chen Kuo
author_facet Wei-Chang Yeh
Chia-Chen Kuo
author_sort Wei-Chang Yeh
collection DOAJ
description The nature and characteristics of free-burning wildland fires have significant economic, safety, and environmental impacts. Additionally, the increase in global warming has led to an increase in the number and severity of wildfires. Hence, there is an increasing need for accurately calculating the probability of wildfire propagation in certain areas. In this study, we firstly demonstrate that the landscapes of wildfire propagation can be represented as a scale-free network, where the wildfire is modeled as the scale-free network whose degree follows the power law. By establishing the state-related concepts and modifying the Binary-Addition-Tree (BAT) together with the PageRank, we propose a new methodology to serve as a reliable tool in predicting the probability of wildfire propagation in certain areas. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the proposed maximum-state PageRank used in the methodology can be implemented separately as a fast, simple, and effective tool in identifying the areas that require immediate protection. The proposed methodology and maximum-state PageRank are validated in the example generated from the Barabási-Albert model in the study.
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spelling doaj.art-3a19b5be99a34af68d78ef2c15105fd52023-11-20T22:11:30ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-11-011023834910.3390/app10238349Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRankWei-Chang Yeh0Chia-Chen Kuo1Integration and Collaboration Laboratory, Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, National Tsing Hua University, Hsinchu City 300, TaiwanIntegration and Collaboration Laboratory, Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, National Tsing Hua University, Hsinchu City 300, TaiwanThe nature and characteristics of free-burning wildland fires have significant economic, safety, and environmental impacts. Additionally, the increase in global warming has led to an increase in the number and severity of wildfires. Hence, there is an increasing need for accurately calculating the probability of wildfire propagation in certain areas. In this study, we firstly demonstrate that the landscapes of wildfire propagation can be represented as a scale-free network, where the wildfire is modeled as the scale-free network whose degree follows the power law. By establishing the state-related concepts and modifying the Binary-Addition-Tree (BAT) together with the PageRank, we propose a new methodology to serve as a reliable tool in predicting the probability of wildfire propagation in certain areas. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the proposed maximum-state PageRank used in the methodology can be implemented separately as a fast, simple, and effective tool in identifying the areas that require immediate protection. The proposed methodology and maximum-state PageRank are validated in the example generated from the Barabási-Albert model in the study.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/23/8349wildfirefire modelmodel performancePageRankbinary-addition tree (BAT)states
spellingShingle Wei-Chang Yeh
Chia-Chen Kuo
Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank
Applied Sciences
wildfire
fire model
model performance
PageRank
binary-addition tree (BAT)
states
title Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank
title_full Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank
title_fullStr Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank
title_full_unstemmed Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank
title_short Predicting and Modeling Wildfire Propagation Areas with BAT and Maximum-State PageRank
title_sort predicting and modeling wildfire propagation areas with bat and maximum state pagerank
topic wildfire
fire model
model performance
PageRank
binary-addition tree (BAT)
states
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/23/8349
work_keys_str_mv AT weichangyeh predictingandmodelingwildfirepropagationareaswithbatandmaximumstatepagerank
AT chiachenkuo predictingandmodelingwildfirepropagationareaswithbatandmaximumstatepagerank