Does bitcoin hedge against the economic policy uncertainty: based on the continuous wavelet analysis

This article aims to test a causal nexus between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty. We use the continuous wavelet analysis to investigate lead-lag relationship between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty in different time-frequency domains. Our findings show the negative rela...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yuxin Cai, Zeqi Zhu, Qi Xue, Xinyu Song
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15140326.2022.2072674
Description
Summary:This article aims to test a causal nexus between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty. We use the continuous wavelet analysis to investigate lead-lag relationship between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty in different time-frequency domains. Our findings show the negative relationship between bitcoin returns and economic policy uncertainty around the period of bitcoin’s currency recognition and COVIC-19 pandemic crisis both daily and monthly time series test. Furthermore, we find that the causality relationship between bitcoin and economic policy uncertainty is relatively indistinct around the period of bitcoin’s currency recognition, while bitcoin returns are leading economic policy uncertainty changes during COVID-19 pandemic crisis, indicating the economic policy uncertainty fluctuation trend can refer to the fluctuation of bitcoin, bitcoin can be viewed as a leading indicator, but it could not be employed as a safe-haven asset hedge against uncertainty during the period of COVID-19 pandemic.
ISSN:1514-0326
1667-6726