Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure

In competitive situations, winning depends on selecting actions that surprise the opponent. Such unpredictable action can be generated based on representations of the opponent’s strategy and choice history (model-based counter-prediction) or by choosing actions in a memory-free, stochastic manner. A...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Atsushi Kikumoto, Ulrich Mayr
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd 2019-10-01
Series:eLife
Subjects:
Online Access:https://elifesciences.org/articles/48810
_version_ 1828375846312738816
author Atsushi Kikumoto
Ulrich Mayr
author_facet Atsushi Kikumoto
Ulrich Mayr
author_sort Atsushi Kikumoto
collection DOAJ
description In competitive situations, winning depends on selecting actions that surprise the opponent. Such unpredictable action can be generated based on representations of the opponent’s strategy and choice history (model-based counter-prediction) or by choosing actions in a memory-free, stochastic manner. Across five different experiments using a variant of a matching-pennies game with simulated and human opponents we found that people toggle between these two strategies, using model-based selection when recent wins signal the appropriateness of the current model, but reverting to stochastic selection following losses. Also, after wins, feedback-related, mid-frontal EEG activity reflected information about the opponent’s global and local strategy, and predicted upcoming choices. After losses, this activity was nearly absent—indicating that the internal model is suppressed after negative feedback. We suggest that the mixed-strategy approach allows negotiating two conflicting goals: 1) exploiting the opponent’s deviations from randomness while 2) remaining unpredictable for the opponent.
first_indexed 2024-04-14T07:52:32Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3a3a73fc80f5476281bf971a9199774e
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2050-084X
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-14T07:52:32Z
publishDate 2019-10-01
publisher eLife Sciences Publications Ltd
record_format Article
series eLife
spelling doaj.art-3a3a73fc80f5476281bf971a9199774e2022-12-22T02:05:09ZengeLife Sciences Publications LtdeLife2050-084X2019-10-01810.7554/eLife.48810Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressureAtsushi Kikumoto0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2179-2700Ulrich Mayr1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7512-4556Department of Psychology, University of Oregon, Eugene, United StatesDepartment of Psychology, University of Oregon, Eugene, United StatesIn competitive situations, winning depends on selecting actions that surprise the opponent. Such unpredictable action can be generated based on representations of the opponent’s strategy and choice history (model-based counter-prediction) or by choosing actions in a memory-free, stochastic manner. Across five different experiments using a variant of a matching-pennies game with simulated and human opponents we found that people toggle between these two strategies, using model-based selection when recent wins signal the appropriateness of the current model, but reverting to stochastic selection following losses. Also, after wins, feedback-related, mid-frontal EEG activity reflected information about the opponent’s global and local strategy, and predicted upcoming choices. After losses, this activity was nearly absent—indicating that the internal model is suppressed after negative feedback. We suggest that the mixed-strategy approach allows negotiating two conflicting goals: 1) exploiting the opponent’s deviations from randomness while 2) remaining unpredictable for the opponent.https://elifesciences.org/articles/48810competitive behaviormodel-based choicestochastic choiceEEGfeedback-related processesanterior cingulate
spellingShingle Atsushi Kikumoto
Ulrich Mayr
Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
eLife
competitive behavior
model-based choice
stochastic choice
EEG
feedback-related processes
anterior cingulate
title Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
title_full Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
title_fullStr Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
title_full_unstemmed Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
title_short Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
title_sort balancing model based and memory free action selection under competitive pressure
topic competitive behavior
model-based choice
stochastic choice
EEG
feedback-related processes
anterior cingulate
url https://elifesciences.org/articles/48810
work_keys_str_mv AT atsushikikumoto balancingmodelbasedandmemoryfreeactionselectionundercompetitivepressure
AT ulrichmayr balancingmodelbasedandmemoryfreeactionselectionundercompetitivepressure