Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development

Global change, including population growth, economic development and climate change constitute urgent challenges for the smart cities of the 21st century. Cities need to effectively manage their development and meet challenges that have a significant impact on their economic activity, as well as hea...

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Main Author: Danuta Szpilko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1782
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author Danuta Szpilko
author_facet Danuta Szpilko
author_sort Danuta Szpilko
collection DOAJ
description Global change, including population growth, economic development and climate change constitute urgent challenges for the smart cities of the 21st century. Cities need to effectively manage their development and meet challenges that have a significant impact on their economic activity, as well as health and quality of life for their citizens. In the context of continuous change, city decision-makers are constantly looking for new smart tools to tackle it. This article addresses this gap, indicating foresight as an effective tool that anticipates the future of a smart city. Its aim is to develop a methodology for planning and implementing a vision of smart city development based on foresight research. The proposed methodology consists of five stages and was developed with the use of methodology for designing hybrid systems. It is an organised, transparent and flexible process which can facilitate the development of sustainable and smart future visions of smart city development by virtue of the involvement, knowledge and experience of a large number of urban stakeholders at all stages of its creation. The article discusses in detail the operationalisation of each stage of the methodology in which the following main methods were used: megatrend analysis, factors analysis: social (S), technological (T), economic (E), ecological (E), political (P), relating to values (V) and legal (L) (STEEPVL), structural analysis, Delphi, creative visioning, scenarios and identifying actions related to the development of a smart city, divided into four categories: new, so far not undertaken (N); implemented so far, to be continued (C); redundant, to be discontinued (R); actions that have been implemented in the past and to be restored (R) (NCRR). The summary enumerates the benefits that foresight implementation can bring to the smart city.
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spelling doaj.art-3a48df0d909b4d8493dab5a050537d332023-11-19T20:56:29ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732020-04-01137178210.3390/en13071782Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City DevelopmentDanuta Szpilko0Faculty of Engineering Management, Bialystok University of Technology, Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Białystok, PolandGlobal change, including population growth, economic development and climate change constitute urgent challenges for the smart cities of the 21st century. Cities need to effectively manage their development and meet challenges that have a significant impact on their economic activity, as well as health and quality of life for their citizens. In the context of continuous change, city decision-makers are constantly looking for new smart tools to tackle it. This article addresses this gap, indicating foresight as an effective tool that anticipates the future of a smart city. Its aim is to develop a methodology for planning and implementing a vision of smart city development based on foresight research. The proposed methodology consists of five stages and was developed with the use of methodology for designing hybrid systems. It is an organised, transparent and flexible process which can facilitate the development of sustainable and smart future visions of smart city development by virtue of the involvement, knowledge and experience of a large number of urban stakeholders at all stages of its creation. The article discusses in detail the operationalisation of each stage of the methodology in which the following main methods were used: megatrend analysis, factors analysis: social (S), technological (T), economic (E), ecological (E), political (P), relating to values (V) and legal (L) (STEEPVL), structural analysis, Delphi, creative visioning, scenarios and identifying actions related to the development of a smart city, divided into four categories: new, so far not undertaken (N); implemented so far, to be continued (C); redundant, to be discontinued (R); actions that have been implemented in the past and to be restored (R) (NCRR). The summary enumerates the benefits that foresight implementation can bring to the smart city.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1782smart cityforesightsustainable developmentstrategic planningvisionco-creation
spellingShingle Danuta Szpilko
Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
Energies
smart city
foresight
sustainable development
strategic planning
vision
co-creation
title Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
title_full Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
title_fullStr Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
title_full_unstemmed Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
title_short Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
title_sort foresight as a tool for the planning and implementation of visions for smart city development
topic smart city
foresight
sustainable development
strategic planning
vision
co-creation
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1782
work_keys_str_mv AT danutaszpilko foresightasatoolfortheplanningandimplementationofvisionsforsmartcitydevelopment