Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions

The use of statistical models and machine-learning techniques along satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) is a promising method to estimate ground-level particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 μm (PM<sub>2.5</sub>), mainly in urban areas with low air quality monit...

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Main Authors: Johana M. Carmona, Pawan Gupta, Diego F. Lozano-García, Ana Y. Vanoye, Iván Y. Hernández-Paniagua, Alberto Mendoza
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-08-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/16/3102
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author Johana M. Carmona
Pawan Gupta
Diego F. Lozano-García
Ana Y. Vanoye
Iván Y. Hernández-Paniagua
Alberto Mendoza
author_facet Johana M. Carmona
Pawan Gupta
Diego F. Lozano-García
Ana Y. Vanoye
Iván Y. Hernández-Paniagua
Alberto Mendoza
author_sort Johana M. Carmona
collection DOAJ
description The use of statistical models and machine-learning techniques along satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) is a promising method to estimate ground-level particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 μm (PM<sub>2.5</sub>), mainly in urban areas with low air quality monitor density. Nevertheless, the relationship between AOD and ground-level PM<sub>2.5</sub> varies spatiotemporally and differences related to spatial domains, temporal schemes, and seasonal variations must be assessed. Here, an ensemble multiple linear regression (EMLR) model and an ensemble neural network (ENN) model were developed to estimate PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (MMA), the second largest urban center in Mexico. Four AOD-SDSs (Scientific Datasets) from MODIS Collection 6 were tested using three spatial domains and two temporal schemes. The best model performance was obtained using AOD at 0.55 µm from MODIS-Aqua at a spatial resolution of 3 km, along meteorological parameters and daily scheme. EMLR yielded a correlation coefficient (<i>R</i>) of ~0.57 and a root mean square error (<i>RMSE</i>) of ~7.00 μg m<sup>−3</sup>. ENN performed better than EMLR, with an <i>R</i> of ~0.78 and <i>RMSE</i> of ~5.43 μg m<sup>−3</sup>. Satellite-derived AOD in combination with meteorology data allowed for the estimation of PM<sub>2.5</sub> distributions in an urban area with low air quality monitor density.
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spelling doaj.art-3a946d45a2e6453696497dd0b64a2fd32023-11-22T09:31:53ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922021-08-011316310210.3390/rs13163102Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial DistributionsJohana M. Carmona0Pawan Gupta1Diego F. Lozano-García2Ana Y. Vanoye3Iván Y. Hernández-Paniagua4Alberto Mendoza5Escuela de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Av. Eugenio Garza Sada 2501, Monterrey 64849, MexicoScience and Technology Institute, Universities Space Research Association (USRA), Huntsville, AL 35806, USAEscuela de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Av. Eugenio Garza Sada 2501, Monterrey 64849, MexicoEscuela de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Av. Eugenio Garza Sada 2501, Monterrey 64849, MexicoCentro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Investigación Científica S/N, C.U., Coyoacán, Ciudad de México 04510, MexicoEscuela de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Av. Eugenio Garza Sada 2501, Monterrey 64849, MexicoThe use of statistical models and machine-learning techniques along satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) is a promising method to estimate ground-level particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 μm (PM<sub>2.5</sub>), mainly in urban areas with low air quality monitor density. Nevertheless, the relationship between AOD and ground-level PM<sub>2.5</sub> varies spatiotemporally and differences related to spatial domains, temporal schemes, and seasonal variations must be assessed. Here, an ensemble multiple linear regression (EMLR) model and an ensemble neural network (ENN) model were developed to estimate PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (MMA), the second largest urban center in Mexico. Four AOD-SDSs (Scientific Datasets) from MODIS Collection 6 were tested using three spatial domains and two temporal schemes. The best model performance was obtained using AOD at 0.55 µm from MODIS-Aqua at a spatial resolution of 3 km, along meteorological parameters and daily scheme. EMLR yielded a correlation coefficient (<i>R</i>) of ~0.57 and a root mean square error (<i>RMSE</i>) of ~7.00 μg m<sup>−3</sup>. ENN performed better than EMLR, with an <i>R</i> of ~0.78 and <i>RMSE</i> of ~5.43 μg m<sup>−3</sup>. Satellite-derived AOD in combination with meteorology data allowed for the estimation of PM<sub>2.5</sub> distributions in an urban area with low air quality monitor density.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/16/3102air pollutionfine particulate mattersatellite dataneural networksensemble models
spellingShingle Johana M. Carmona
Pawan Gupta
Diego F. Lozano-García
Ana Y. Vanoye
Iván Y. Hernández-Paniagua
Alberto Mendoza
Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions
Remote Sensing
air pollution
fine particulate matter
satellite data
neural networks
ensemble models
title Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions
title_full Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions
title_fullStr Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions
title_short Evaluation of MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth and Surface Data Using an Ensemble Modeling Approach to Assess PM<sub>2.5</sub> Temporal and Spatial Distributions
title_sort evaluation of modis aerosol optical depth and surface data using an ensemble modeling approach to assess pm sub 2 5 sub temporal and spatial distributions
topic air pollution
fine particulate matter
satellite data
neural networks
ensemble models
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/16/3102
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