Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data

In response to the first human outbreak (January - May 2005) of Saint Louis encephalitis (SLE) virus in Córdoba province, Argentina, we developed an environmental SLE virus risk map for the capital, i.e. Córdoba city. The aim was to provide a map capable of detecting macro-environmental factors asso...

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Main Authors: Camilo H. Rotela, Lorena I. Spinsanti, Mario A. Lamfri, Marta S. Contigiani, Walter R. Almirón, Carlos M. Scavuzzo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PAGEPress Publications 2011-11-01
Series:Geospatial Health
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/160
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author Camilo H. Rotela
Lorena I. Spinsanti
Mario A. Lamfri
Marta S. Contigiani
Walter R. Almirón
Carlos M. Scavuzzo
author_facet Camilo H. Rotela
Lorena I. Spinsanti
Mario A. Lamfri
Marta S. Contigiani
Walter R. Almirón
Carlos M. Scavuzzo
author_sort Camilo H. Rotela
collection DOAJ
description In response to the first human outbreak (January - May 2005) of Saint Louis encephalitis (SLE) virus in Córdoba province, Argentina, we developed an environmental SLE virus risk map for the capital, i.e. Córdoba city. The aim was to provide a map capable of detecting macro-environmental factors associated with the spatial distribution of SLE cases, based on remotely sensed data and a geographical information system. Vegetation, soil brightness, humidity status, distances to water-bodies and areas covered by vegetation were assessed based on pre-outbreak images provided by the Landsat 5TM satellite. A strong inverse relationship between the number of humans infected by SLEV and distance to high-vigor vegetation was noted. A statistical non-hierarchic decision tree model was constructed, based on environmental variables representing the areas surrounding patient residences. From this point of view, 18% of the city could be classified as being at high risk for SLEV infection, while 34% carried a low risk, or none at all. Taking the whole 2005 epidemic into account, 80% of the cases came from areas classified by the model as medium-high or high risk. Almost 46% of the cases were registered in high-risk areas, while there were no cases (0%) in areas affirmed as risk free.
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spelling doaj.art-3ade16115fd946b09bbb7942556322b72022-12-22T00:51:29ZengPAGEPress PublicationsGeospatial Health1827-19871970-70962011-11-0161859410.4081/gh.2011.160160Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed dataCamilo H. Rotela0Lorena I. Spinsanti1Mario A. Lamfri2Marta S. Contigiani3Walter R. Almirón4Carlos M. Scavuzzo5Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales Mario Gulich, Comisión Nacional de Actividades Espaciales, Centro Espacial Teófilo Tabanera, CórdobaInstituto de Virología Dr. J.M. Vanella, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, CórdobaInstituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales Mario Gulich, Comisión Nacional de Actividades Espaciales, Centro Espacial Teófilo Tabanera, CórdobaInstituto de Virología Dr. J.M. Vanella, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, CórdobaCentro de Investigaciones Entomológicas de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, CórdobaInstituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales Mario Gulich, Comisión Nacional de Actividades Espaciales, Centro Espacial Teófilo Tabanera, CórdobaIn response to the first human outbreak (January - May 2005) of Saint Louis encephalitis (SLE) virus in Córdoba province, Argentina, we developed an environmental SLE virus risk map for the capital, i.e. Córdoba city. The aim was to provide a map capable of detecting macro-environmental factors associated with the spatial distribution of SLE cases, based on remotely sensed data and a geographical information system. Vegetation, soil brightness, humidity status, distances to water-bodies and areas covered by vegetation were assessed based on pre-outbreak images provided by the Landsat 5TM satellite. A strong inverse relationship between the number of humans infected by SLEV and distance to high-vigor vegetation was noted. A statistical non-hierarchic decision tree model was constructed, based on environmental variables representing the areas surrounding patient residences. From this point of view, 18% of the city could be classified as being at high risk for SLEV infection, while 34% carried a low risk, or none at all. Taking the whole 2005 epidemic into account, 80% of the cases came from areas classified by the model as medium-high or high risk. Almost 46% of the cases were registered in high-risk areas, while there were no cases (0%) in areas affirmed as risk free.http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/160landscape epidemiology, remote sensing, risk map, Saint Louis encephalitis, Argentina.
spellingShingle Camilo H. Rotela
Lorena I. Spinsanti
Mario A. Lamfri
Marta S. Contigiani
Walter R. Almirón
Carlos M. Scavuzzo
Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
Geospatial Health
landscape epidemiology, remote sensing, risk map, Saint Louis encephalitis, Argentina.
title Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
title_full Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
title_fullStr Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
title_full_unstemmed Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
title_short Mapping environmental susceptibility to Saint Louis encephalitis virus, based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
title_sort mapping environmental susceptibility to saint louis encephalitis virus based on a decision tree model of remotelysensed data
topic landscape epidemiology, remote sensing, risk map, Saint Louis encephalitis, Argentina.
url http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/160
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