Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services
The work introduces a method to quantify potential impact of climate change on cultural ecosystem services in forests. The technique of Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Term Set is applied to face with the uncertainty due to climate change as well as subjective opinion of forest experts. Two forest managem...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Consiglio per la ricerca in agricoltura e l'analisi dell'economia agraria - Research Centre for Forestry and Wood
2019-06-01
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| Series: | Annals of Silvicultural Research |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://journals-crea.4science.it/index.php/asr/article/view/1802 |
| _version_ | 1818289933159235584 |
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| author | Sandro Sacchelli Jacopo Bernetti Augusto Marinelli |
| author_facet | Sandro Sacchelli Jacopo Bernetti Augusto Marinelli |
| author_sort | Sandro Sacchelli |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The work introduces a method to quantify potential impact of climate change on cultural ecosystem services in forests. The technique of Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Term Set is applied to face with the uncertainty due to climate change as well as subjective opinion of forest experts. Two forest management scenario (current practices as well as climate change-oriented silviculture) are investigated for different time horizons. Results highlight the increasing uncertainty on climate change impact evaluation related to longer time horizons. Potential losses connected to current cultural ecosystem services provision are quantified from spatial as well as economic viewpoint. The method is tested for an illustrative example in the Tuscany region - central Italy. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-13T02:20:09Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3b2e14b060a54bb29d14a095d977cf6a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2284-354X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-13T02:20:09Z |
| publishDate | 2019-06-01 |
| publisher | Consiglio per la ricerca in agricoltura e l'analisi dell'economia agraria - Research Centre for Forestry and Wood |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Annals of Silvicultural Research |
| spelling | doaj.art-3b2e14b060a54bb29d14a095d977cf6a2022-12-22T00:02:47ZengConsiglio per la ricerca in agricoltura e l'analisi dell'economia agraria - Research Centre for Forestry and WoodAnnals of Silvicultural Research2284-354X2019-06-01431233410.12899/asr-18021154Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem servicesSandro Sacchelli0Jacopo Bernetti1Augusto Marinelli2Universita degli Studi di FirenzeUniversita degli Studi di FirenzeUniversita degli Studi di FirenzeThe work introduces a method to quantify potential impact of climate change on cultural ecosystem services in forests. The technique of Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Term Set is applied to face with the uncertainty due to climate change as well as subjective opinion of forest experts. Two forest management scenario (current practices as well as climate change-oriented silviculture) are investigated for different time horizons. Results highlight the increasing uncertainty on climate change impact evaluation related to longer time horizons. Potential losses connected to current cultural ecosystem services provision are quantified from spatial as well as economic viewpoint. The method is tested for an illustrative example in the Tuscany region - central Italy.https://journals-crea.4science.it/index.php/asr/article/view/1802climate change-oriented silviculturecultural ecosystem servicesuncertainty evaluation |
| spellingShingle | Sandro Sacchelli Jacopo Bernetti Augusto Marinelli Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services Annals of Silvicultural Research climate change-oriented silviculture cultural ecosystem services uncertainty evaluation |
| title | Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services |
| title_full | Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services |
| title_fullStr | Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services |
| title_full_unstemmed | Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services |
| title_short | Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services |
| title_sort | uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services |
| topic | climate change-oriented silviculture cultural ecosystem services uncertainty evaluation |
| url | https://journals-crea.4science.it/index.php/asr/article/view/1802 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sandrosacchelli uncertaintyassessmentinclimatechangescenariosamethodologicalproposalformanagementofforestecosystemservices AT jacopobernetti uncertaintyassessmentinclimatechangescenariosamethodologicalproposalformanagementofforestecosystemservices AT augustomarinelli uncertaintyassessmentinclimatechangescenariosamethodologicalproposalformanagementofforestecosystemservices |