Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients

Background and purpose: Stomach cancer is a multifactorial disease that may be influenced by many factors, including environmental and genetic factors. Therefore, it is important to investigate and recognize the prognostic factors in the survival of this disease. The purpose of this study was to inv...

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Main Authors: Aghil Mollaei, Nouraddin Mousavinasab, Jamshid Yazdani-Charati, Mohammad Eslami-Jouibari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jmums.mazums.ac.ir/article-1-19738-en.pdf
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author Aghil Mollaei
Nouraddin Mousavinasab
Jamshid Yazdani-Charati
Mohammad Eslami-Jouibari
author_facet Aghil Mollaei
Nouraddin Mousavinasab
Jamshid Yazdani-Charati
Mohammad Eslami-Jouibari
author_sort Aghil Mollaei
collection DOAJ
description Background and purpose: Stomach cancer is a multifactorial disease that may be influenced by many factors, including environmental and genetic factors. Therefore, it is important to investigate and recognize the prognostic factors in the survival of this disease. The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors affecting the survival of gastric cancer by parametric and semi-parametric regression methods and finally to fit the best model among these models. Materials and methods: A historical cohort study on 193 patients with gastric cancer in Mazandaran province 2011-2014 was carried out. Demographic, clinical and therapeutic information of patients were collected. The Schoenfeld test was utilized to evaluate the assumption of proportional hazards, while Cox-Snell residuals were employed to assess the adequacy of the model. The STATA software (v. 14) was used to analyze the data. The significance level of the tests was considered 0.25 for univariate analysis. Results: 30% and 70% of the patients were women and men, respectively. The average age at diagnosis of the patients was 64.92±14.04 years. The mean and median survival time were 21.92 and 8.06 months, respectively, with a standard error of 2.57 and 1.20. Based on Akanke’s information criterion and Cox-Snell's residuals, the log-logistic model was selected as the optimal model. The results of the log-logistic model showed that the variables of body mass index (acceleration factor= 1.11 and P= 0.003) and in terms of the type of treatment, the combination of chemotherapy and surgery compared to surgery (acceleration factor=3.12 and P=0.028) and three types of combined treatment of radiotherapy, chemotherapy and surgery to surgery (acceleration factor=7.58 and P=0.020) and kidney disease (acceleration factor=0.20 and P=0.014) were factors affecting survival. Conclusion: Despite the preference of the majority of researchers to utilize the Cox model, accelerated failure models can serve as a viable alternative to the Cox model in comparable circumstances
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spelling doaj.art-3b341ae3e2b7428ca2123fdeb0a186a92023-12-11T09:06:01ZengMazandaran University of Medical SciencesJournal of Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences1735-92601735-92792023-12-01332192202Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer PatientsAghil Mollaei0Nouraddin Mousavinasab1Jamshid Yazdani-Charati2Mohammad Eslami-Jouibari3 MSc Student in Biostatistics, Faculty of Health, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran Associate Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Health Sciences Research Center, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Health Sciences Research Center, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran Assistant Professor, Department of Internal Medicine, Sari Imam Khomeini Hospital, Cancer Research Center, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran Background and purpose: Stomach cancer is a multifactorial disease that may be influenced by many factors, including environmental and genetic factors. Therefore, it is important to investigate and recognize the prognostic factors in the survival of this disease. The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors affecting the survival of gastric cancer by parametric and semi-parametric regression methods and finally to fit the best model among these models. Materials and methods: A historical cohort study on 193 patients with gastric cancer in Mazandaran province 2011-2014 was carried out. Demographic, clinical and therapeutic information of patients were collected. The Schoenfeld test was utilized to evaluate the assumption of proportional hazards, while Cox-Snell residuals were employed to assess the adequacy of the model. The STATA software (v. 14) was used to analyze the data. The significance level of the tests was considered 0.25 for univariate analysis. Results: 30% and 70% of the patients were women and men, respectively. The average age at diagnosis of the patients was 64.92±14.04 years. The mean and median survival time were 21.92 and 8.06 months, respectively, with a standard error of 2.57 and 1.20. Based on Akanke’s information criterion and Cox-Snell's residuals, the log-logistic model was selected as the optimal model. The results of the log-logistic model showed that the variables of body mass index (acceleration factor= 1.11 and P= 0.003) and in terms of the type of treatment, the combination of chemotherapy and surgery compared to surgery (acceleration factor=3.12 and P=0.028) and three types of combined treatment of radiotherapy, chemotherapy and surgery to surgery (acceleration factor=7.58 and P=0.020) and kidney disease (acceleration factor=0.20 and P=0.014) were factors affecting survival. Conclusion: Despite the preference of the majority of researchers to utilize the Cox model, accelerated failure models can serve as a viable alternative to the Cox model in comparable circumstanceshttp://jmums.mazums.ac.ir/article-1-19738-en.pdfcox proportional hazards modelaccelerated failure modelakanke’s information criterioncox snell residualssurvivalgastric cancerparametric regression
spellingShingle Aghil Mollaei
Nouraddin Mousavinasab
Jamshid Yazdani-Charati
Mohammad Eslami-Jouibari
Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients
Journal of Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences
cox proportional hazards model
accelerated failure model
akanke’s information criterion
cox snell residuals
survival
gastric cancer
parametric regression
title Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients
title_full Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients
title_fullStr Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients
title_short Comparison of efficiency of Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Accelerated Failure Time Models in Determining Survival Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients
title_sort comparison of efficiency of cox proportional hazards model and accelerated failure time models in determining survival factors in gastric cancer patients
topic cox proportional hazards model
accelerated failure model
akanke’s information criterion
cox snell residuals
survival
gastric cancer
parametric regression
url http://jmums.mazums.ac.ir/article-1-19738-en.pdf
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