The price is not right

The 2015 Paris Agreement requires all nations to combat climate change and to adapt to its effects. Countries promise to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through their Nationally Determined Contributions. Pledges to reduce emissions, however, have implications for economic growth. We esti...

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Main Authors: Ralph Chami, Connel Fullenkamp, Andres González Gómez, Nathalie Hilmi, Nicolas E. Magud
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1225190/full
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author Ralph Chami
Connel Fullenkamp
Andres González Gómez
Nathalie Hilmi
Nicolas E. Magud
author_facet Ralph Chami
Connel Fullenkamp
Andres González Gómez
Nathalie Hilmi
Nicolas E. Magud
author_sort Ralph Chami
collection DOAJ
description The 2015 Paris Agreement requires all nations to combat climate change and to adapt to its effects. Countries promise to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through their Nationally Determined Contributions. Pledges to reduce emissions, however, have implications for economic growth. We estimate the link between economic growth and CO2 pollution levels and find that this relationship is highly non-linear. A country's GHG emissions rise rapidly as its economic activity rises, relative to global activity, meaning that fast-growing countries contribute most heavily to current GHG emissions. Then, using real per-capita GDP as our metric, we estimate how much the carbon price should be in order to remove the economic growth benefit from excess GHG emissions. We find that the implied prices are far higher than the prices on any existing market for emissions as well as estimates of the social cost of carbon. Our findings also have important implications for the global dialogue regarding responsibility for climate mitigation as well as for the choice of policies to support mitigation efforts.
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spelling doaj.art-3b4dccd576214847bee1c5deaaefe21d2023-08-18T07:47:27ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Climate2624-95532023-08-01510.3389/fclim.2023.12251901225190The price is not rightRalph Chami0Connel Fullenkamp1Andres González Gómez2Nathalie Hilmi3Nicolas E. Magud4Department of Economics, Williams College, Williamstown, MA, United StatesDepartment of Economics, Duke University, Durham, NC, United StatesIndependent Researcher, Washington, DC, United StatesEnvironmental Economics Department, Centre Scientifique de Monaco, Monaco, MonacoIndependent Researcher, Washington, DC, United StatesThe 2015 Paris Agreement requires all nations to combat climate change and to adapt to its effects. Countries promise to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through their Nationally Determined Contributions. Pledges to reduce emissions, however, have implications for economic growth. We estimate the link between economic growth and CO2 pollution levels and find that this relationship is highly non-linear. A country's GHG emissions rise rapidly as its economic activity rises, relative to global activity, meaning that fast-growing countries contribute most heavily to current GHG emissions. Then, using real per-capita GDP as our metric, we estimate how much the carbon price should be in order to remove the economic growth benefit from excess GHG emissions. We find that the implied prices are far higher than the prices on any existing market for emissions as well as estimates of the social cost of carbon. Our findings also have important implications for the global dialogue regarding responsibility for climate mitigation as well as for the choice of policies to support mitigation efforts.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1225190/fullGHG emissionseconomic growthcarbon taxesclimate justiceloss and damageParis accords
spellingShingle Ralph Chami
Connel Fullenkamp
Andres González Gómez
Nathalie Hilmi
Nicolas E. Magud
The price is not right
Frontiers in Climate
GHG emissions
economic growth
carbon taxes
climate justice
loss and damage
Paris accords
title The price is not right
title_full The price is not right
title_fullStr The price is not right
title_full_unstemmed The price is not right
title_short The price is not right
title_sort price is not right
topic GHG emissions
economic growth
carbon taxes
climate justice
loss and damage
Paris accords
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1225190/full
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