Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan

This article examines the overall demographic development of Kazakhstan, including long-term trends in fertility and mortality. The study notes that the demographic development of the country in different regions is different, which, in turn, interferes with the demographic situation. This study use...

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Main Authors: R. U. Rakhmetova, S. A. Kaliyeva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute of Economics under the Science Committee of Ministry of Education and Science RK 2022-04-01
Series:Экономика: стратегия и практика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/623
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author R. U. Rakhmetova
S. A. Kaliyeva
author_facet R. U. Rakhmetova
S. A. Kaliyeva
author_sort R. U. Rakhmetova
collection DOAJ
description This article examines the overall demographic development of Kazakhstan, including long-term trends in fertility and mortality. The study notes that the demographic development of the country in different regions is different, which, in turn, interferes with the demographic situation. This study used the method of SPSS analysis in computer technology using multivariate statistical and mathematical methods to group the regions of Kazakhstan into clusters according to six main indicators (total mortality, infant mortality, demographic load, proportion of triplets, nuptiality, frequency of abortions). As a result, the regions of Kazakhstan are divided into three clusters according to the process of demographic development. A comparative analysis of the demographic indicators of the regions in these three clusters and their intensity in comparison with the national level is carried out. According to the average indicator of 7 regions included in the first cluster, it was determined that they are in the direction of a regressive trend. The two largest cities of the second cluster - Nur-Sultan and Almaty - are based on a stationary process and progressive development of 8 regions of the third cluster. Cluster analysis revealed a high demographic potential in the third cluster region and depopulation in other cluster regions: Kostanay, North-East Kazakhstan regions, and Almaty. Therefore, when predicting future births and deaths, it is necessary to take into account the promising characteristics of each region and the trend of the system of indicators characterizing the current demographic situation, which determines the type of population growth in each region.
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spelling doaj.art-3b9a0a313fe3411181c4dff20f8984152023-03-13T07:45:30ZengInstitute of Economics under the Science Committee of Ministry of Education and Science RKЭкономика: стратегия и практика1997-99672663-550X2022-04-01171809210.51176/1997-9967-2022-1-80-92336Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of KazakhstanR. U. Rakhmetova0S. A. Kaliyeva1Университет Туран-АстанаИнститут экономики КН МОН РКThis article examines the overall demographic development of Kazakhstan, including long-term trends in fertility and mortality. The study notes that the demographic development of the country in different regions is different, which, in turn, interferes with the demographic situation. This study used the method of SPSS analysis in computer technology using multivariate statistical and mathematical methods to group the regions of Kazakhstan into clusters according to six main indicators (total mortality, infant mortality, demographic load, proportion of triplets, nuptiality, frequency of abortions). As a result, the regions of Kazakhstan are divided into three clusters according to the process of demographic development. A comparative analysis of the demographic indicators of the regions in these three clusters and their intensity in comparison with the national level is carried out. According to the average indicator of 7 regions included in the first cluster, it was determined that they are in the direction of a regressive trend. The two largest cities of the second cluster - Nur-Sultan and Almaty - are based on a stationary process and progressive development of 8 regions of the third cluster. Cluster analysis revealed a high demographic potential in the third cluster region and depopulation in other cluster regions: Kostanay, North-East Kazakhstan regions, and Almaty. Therefore, when predicting future births and deaths, it is necessary to take into account the promising characteristics of each region and the trend of the system of indicators characterizing the current demographic situation, which determines the type of population growth in each region.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/623демографическая ситуациярегионытенденциипрактика кластерного анализаранг
spellingShingle R. U. Rakhmetova
S. A. Kaliyeva
Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan
Экономика: стратегия и практика
демографическая ситуация
регионы
тенденции
практика кластерного анализа
ранг
title Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan
title_full Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan
title_fullStr Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan
title_full_unstemmed Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan
title_short Comparative Analysis of the Demographic Development of the Regions of Kazakhstan
title_sort comparative analysis of the demographic development of the regions of kazakhstan
topic демографическая ситуация
регионы
тенденции
практика кластерного анализа
ранг
url https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/623
work_keys_str_mv AT rurakhmetova comparativeanalysisofthedemographicdevelopmentoftheregionsofkazakhstan
AT sakaliyeva comparativeanalysisofthedemographicdevelopmentoftheregionsofkazakhstan