Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation

Sediment load in rivers is recognized as both a carrier and a potential source of contaminants. Sediment deposition significantly changes river flow and morphology, thereby affecting stream hydrology and aquatic life. We projected sediment load from the Pearl River basin (PRB), Mississippi into the...

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Main Authors: Ying Ouyang, Yanbo Huang, Prem B. Parajuli, Yongshan Wan, Johnny M. Grace, Peter V. Caldwell, Carl Trettin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/5/108
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author Ying Ouyang
Yanbo Huang
Prem B. Parajuli
Yongshan Wan
Johnny M. Grace
Peter V. Caldwell
Carl Trettin
author_facet Ying Ouyang
Yanbo Huang
Prem B. Parajuli
Yongshan Wan
Johnny M. Grace
Peter V. Caldwell
Carl Trettin
author_sort Ying Ouyang
collection DOAJ
description Sediment load in rivers is recognized as both a carrier and a potential source of contaminants. Sediment deposition significantly changes river flow and morphology, thereby affecting stream hydrology and aquatic life. We projected sediment load from the Pearl River basin (PRB), Mississippi into the northern Gulf of Mexico under a future climate with afforestation using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)-based HAWQS (Hydrologic and Water Quality System) model. Three simulation scenarios were developed in this study: (1) the past scenario for estimating the 40-year sediment load from 1981 to 2020; (2) the future scenario for projecting the 40-year sediment load from 2025 to 2064, and (3) the future afforestation scenario that was the same as the future scenario, except for converting the rangeland located in the middle section of the Pearl River watershed of the PRB into the mixed forest land cover. Simulations showed a 16% decrease in sediment load for the future scenario in comparison to the past scenario due to the decrease in future surface runoff. Over both the past and future 40 years, the monthly maximum and minimum sediment loads occurred, respectively, in April and August; whereas the seasonal sediment load followed the order: spring > winter > summer > fall. Among the four seasons, winter and spring accounted for about 86% of sediment load for both scenarios. Under the future 40-year climate conditions, a 10% reduction in annual average sediment load with afforestation was observed in comparison to without afforestation. This study provides new insights into how a future climate with afforestation would affect sediment load into the northern Gulf of Mexico.
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spelling doaj.art-3ba91b6b8f7a424b9468d008652a88272023-11-18T00:57:37ZengMDPI AGClimate2225-11542023-05-0111510810.3390/cli11050108Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with AfforestationYing Ouyang0Yanbo Huang1Prem B. Parajuli2Yongshan Wan3Johnny M. Grace4Peter V. Caldwell5Carl Trettin6USDA Forest Service, Center for Bottomland Hardwoods Research, Southern Research Station, 775 Stone Blvd., Thompson Hall, Room 309, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USAGenetics and Sustainable Agriculture Research Unit, Crop Science Research Laboratory, USDA-Agricultural Research Service, 810 Highway 12 East, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USADepartment of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USACenter for Environmental Measurement and Modeling, US EPA, 1 Sabine Island Drive, Gulf Breeze, FL 32561, USAUSDA Forest Service, Center for Forest Watershed Research, Southern Research Station, 1740 S. Martin Luther King Jr. Blvd., Perry-Paige Bldg., Suite 303 North, Tallahassee, FL 32307, USAUSDA Forest Service, Center for Integrated Forest Science, Southern Research Station, 3160 Coweeta Lab Road, Otto, NC 28763, USAUSDA Forest Service enter for Forest Watershed Research, 3734 Hwy 402, Cordesville, SC 29434, USASediment load in rivers is recognized as both a carrier and a potential source of contaminants. Sediment deposition significantly changes river flow and morphology, thereby affecting stream hydrology and aquatic life. We projected sediment load from the Pearl River basin (PRB), Mississippi into the northern Gulf of Mexico under a future climate with afforestation using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)-based HAWQS (Hydrologic and Water Quality System) model. Three simulation scenarios were developed in this study: (1) the past scenario for estimating the 40-year sediment load from 1981 to 2020; (2) the future scenario for projecting the 40-year sediment load from 2025 to 2064, and (3) the future afforestation scenario that was the same as the future scenario, except for converting the rangeland located in the middle section of the Pearl River watershed of the PRB into the mixed forest land cover. Simulations showed a 16% decrease in sediment load for the future scenario in comparison to the past scenario due to the decrease in future surface runoff. Over both the past and future 40 years, the monthly maximum and minimum sediment loads occurred, respectively, in April and August; whereas the seasonal sediment load followed the order: spring > winter > summer > fall. Among the four seasons, winter and spring accounted for about 86% of sediment load for both scenarios. Under the future 40-year climate conditions, a 10% reduction in annual average sediment load with afforestation was observed in comparison to without afforestation. This study provides new insights into how a future climate with afforestation would affect sediment load into the northern Gulf of Mexico.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/5/108afforestationclimate changeHAWQS modelGulf of Mexicosediment load
spellingShingle Ying Ouyang
Yanbo Huang
Prem B. Parajuli
Yongshan Wan
Johnny M. Grace
Peter V. Caldwell
Carl Trettin
Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation
Climate
afforestation
climate change
HAWQS model
Gulf of Mexico
sediment load
title Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation
title_full Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation
title_fullStr Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation
title_full_unstemmed Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation
title_short Projection of Sediment Loading from Pearl River Basin, Mississippi into Gulf of Mexico under a Future Climate with Afforestation
title_sort projection of sediment loading from pearl river basin mississippi into gulf of mexico under a future climate with afforestation
topic afforestation
climate change
HAWQS model
Gulf of Mexico
sediment load
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/5/108
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