High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region

The Sierra Nevada region has experienced substantial wildfire impacts. Uncertainty pertaining to fire risk may be reduced by better understanding how air temperature (Ta: °C) influences wildfire ignitions independently of other factors. We linked lightning-ignited wildfires to Ta patterns across the...

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Main Authors: Matthew D. Petrie, Neil P. Savage, Haroon Stephen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-07-01
Series:Environments
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3298/9/8/96
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author Matthew D. Petrie
Neil P. Savage
Haroon Stephen
author_facet Matthew D. Petrie
Neil P. Savage
Haroon Stephen
author_sort Matthew D. Petrie
collection DOAJ
description The Sierra Nevada region has experienced substantial wildfire impacts. Uncertainty pertaining to fire risk may be reduced by better understanding how air temperature (Ta: °C) influences wildfire ignitions independently of other factors. We linked lightning-ignited wildfires to Ta patterns across the region from 1992 to 2015 and compared monthly high- and low-air-temperature patterns between ignition and non-ignition locations at local scales (4 km). Regionally, more ignitions occurred in springs with a greater number of high-Ta months and fewer cool Ta months (analyzed separately) and in summers with fewer cool Ta months. Locally, summer ignition locations experienced warmer summer months on a normalized scale than non-ignition locations. The probability of a wildfire ignition was positively associated with a greater number of high-Ta months during and prior to fire seasons. Regionally, springs with a greater number of high-Ta months had more wildfire ignitions. Locally, as individual locations in the region experienced a greater number of high-Ta months preceding and including the fire season, they exhibited substantial increases in spring (+1446%), summer (+365%), and fall (+248%) ignitions. Thus, the frequent occurrence of high-Ta months is positively associated with lightning-ignited wildfires in the Sierra Nevada region.
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spelling doaj.art-3be9390650de49de93dbaaf1861af47b2023-11-30T21:21:07ZengMDPI AGEnvironments2076-32982022-07-01989610.3390/environments9080096High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada RegionMatthew D. Petrie0Neil P. Savage1Haroon Stephen2School of Life Sciences, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV 89154, USASchool of Life Sciences, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV 89154, USACivil and Environmental Engineering and Construction, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV 89154, USAThe Sierra Nevada region has experienced substantial wildfire impacts. Uncertainty pertaining to fire risk may be reduced by better understanding how air temperature (Ta: °C) influences wildfire ignitions independently of other factors. We linked lightning-ignited wildfires to Ta patterns across the region from 1992 to 2015 and compared monthly high- and low-air-temperature patterns between ignition and non-ignition locations at local scales (4 km). Regionally, more ignitions occurred in springs with a greater number of high-Ta months and fewer cool Ta months (analyzed separately) and in summers with fewer cool Ta months. Locally, summer ignition locations experienced warmer summer months on a normalized scale than non-ignition locations. The probability of a wildfire ignition was positively associated with a greater number of high-Ta months during and prior to fire seasons. Regionally, springs with a greater number of high-Ta months had more wildfire ignitions. Locally, as individual locations in the region experienced a greater number of high-Ta months preceding and including the fire season, they exhibited substantial increases in spring (+1446%), summer (+365%), and fall (+248%) ignitions. Thus, the frequent occurrence of high-Ta months is positively associated with lightning-ignited wildfires in the Sierra Nevada region.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3298/9/8/96fire riskforestclimateCaliforniaNevada
spellingShingle Matthew D. Petrie
Neil P. Savage
Haroon Stephen
High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region
Environments
fire risk
forest
climate
California
Nevada
title High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region
title_full High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region
title_fullStr High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region
title_full_unstemmed High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region
title_short High and Low Air Temperatures and Natural Wildfire Ignitions in the Sierra Nevada Region
title_sort high and low air temperatures and natural wildfire ignitions in the sierra nevada region
topic fire risk
forest
climate
California
Nevada
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3298/9/8/96
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