Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park
Tourism is considered one of the main sources of pressure on the global ecosystem, which is being increasingly affected by climate change. Few studies have evaluated the spatial patterns of tourism pressure that ecosystems will suffer under the changing climate in the future. Considering the Three-R...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2022-08-01
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| Series: | Remote Sensing |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/15/3758 |
| _version_ | 1797432693704622080 |
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| author | Yuxi Zeng Ling-en Wang Linsheng Zhong |
| author_facet | Yuxi Zeng Ling-en Wang Linsheng Zhong |
| author_sort | Yuxi Zeng |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Tourism is considered one of the main sources of pressure on the global ecosystem, which is being increasingly affected by climate change. Few studies have evaluated the spatial patterns of tourism pressure that ecosystems will suffer under the changing climate in the future. Considering the Three-River-Source National Park, China, as the study area, we applied statistical and remote sensing techniques to examine the spatial pattern of the risk of tourism pressure in 2070 and 2100 under two climate scenarios: the representative concentration pathway of radiative forcing levels of 8.5 W/m<sup>2</sup> (RCP8.5) and RCP4.5. The results indicate that regions at high risk of tourism pressure in the study area will expand in the future. Areas with a high risk of tourism pressure in 2100 under the RCP8.5 scenario accounted for 6.75% of the entire study area, with the largest area under impact being in the Lancang-River-Source Park, accounting for 20.61% of the sub-park. The distribution density of areas with a high risk of tourism pressure in 2100 is also the highest under RCP8.5 (5.3 points/km<sup>2</sup>), and the average density of Lancang-River-Source Park will be the highest (16.58 points/km<sup>2</sup>) among the three sub-parks, suggesting that larger areas of the Three-River-Source National Park will face an increased risk of tourism pressure in the context of future climate change, with the greatest change poised to be in the Lancang-River-Source Park. Tourism pressure management strategies must be implemented in these areas with an increased risk of tourism pressure. This study provides useful insights for managing tourism pressures and improving adaptability under climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T10:05:19Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3c27cc0334ae457d80bf4aaeda7d3639 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2072-4292 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T10:05:19Z |
| publishDate | 2022-08-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Remote Sensing |
| spelling | doaj.art-3c27cc0334ae457d80bf4aaeda7d36392023-12-01T23:08:40ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922022-08-011415375810.3390/rs14153758Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National ParkYuxi Zeng0Ling-en Wang1Linsheng Zhong2Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaTourism is considered one of the main sources of pressure on the global ecosystem, which is being increasingly affected by climate change. Few studies have evaluated the spatial patterns of tourism pressure that ecosystems will suffer under the changing climate in the future. Considering the Three-River-Source National Park, China, as the study area, we applied statistical and remote sensing techniques to examine the spatial pattern of the risk of tourism pressure in 2070 and 2100 under two climate scenarios: the representative concentration pathway of radiative forcing levels of 8.5 W/m<sup>2</sup> (RCP8.5) and RCP4.5. The results indicate that regions at high risk of tourism pressure in the study area will expand in the future. Areas with a high risk of tourism pressure in 2100 under the RCP8.5 scenario accounted for 6.75% of the entire study area, with the largest area under impact being in the Lancang-River-Source Park, accounting for 20.61% of the sub-park. The distribution density of areas with a high risk of tourism pressure in 2100 is also the highest under RCP8.5 (5.3 points/km<sup>2</sup>), and the average density of Lancang-River-Source Park will be the highest (16.58 points/km<sup>2</sup>) among the three sub-parks, suggesting that larger areas of the Three-River-Source National Park will face an increased risk of tourism pressure in the context of future climate change, with the greatest change poised to be in the Lancang-River-Source Park. Tourism pressure management strategies must be implemented in these areas with an increased risk of tourism pressure. This study provides useful insights for managing tourism pressures and improving adaptability under climate change.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/15/3758tourism pressurerecreational ecosystem servicesclimate changeThree-River-Source National Park |
| spellingShingle | Yuxi Zeng Ling-en Wang Linsheng Zhong Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park Remote Sensing tourism pressure recreational ecosystem services climate change Three-River-Source National Park |
| title | Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park |
| title_full | Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park |
| title_fullStr | Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park |
| title_short | Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park |
| title_sort | future risk of tourism pressures under climate change a case study in the three river source national park |
| topic | tourism pressure recreational ecosystem services climate change Three-River-Source National Park |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/15/3758 |
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