Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece

Airborne pollen triggers allergic reactions in up to 40% of the global population. The incidence of pollen allergies is increasing in Thessaloniki, Greece and it is predicted that more than 50% of the European Union’s inhabitants will suffer from allergic rhinitis by 2025. Thus, it is essential to i...

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Main Authors: Sofia Papadogiannaki, Serafeim Kontos, Daphne Parliari, Dimitrios Melas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Environmental Sciences Proceedings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4931/26/1/2
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author Sofia Papadogiannaki
Serafeim Kontos
Daphne Parliari
Dimitrios Melas
author_facet Sofia Papadogiannaki
Serafeim Kontos
Daphne Parliari
Dimitrios Melas
author_sort Sofia Papadogiannaki
collection DOAJ
description Airborne pollen triggers allergic reactions in up to 40% of the global population. The incidence of pollen allergies is increasing in Thessaloniki, Greece and it is predicted that more than 50% of the European Union’s inhabitants will suffer from allergic rhinitis by 2025. Thus, it is essential to investigate and predict high pollen concentrations to address this growing concern. This study utilized the Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR) technique, a machine learning approach, to estimate pollen concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus taxa, using daily meteorological and land surface data obtained from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The method accurately predicted pollen concentrations for both species, with an Index of Agreement (IoA) of 0.86 for Oleaceae and 0.78 for Quercus, despite the limited size of the dataset.
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spelling doaj.art-3c2f509996974c7ea14eed94912edb732024-03-27T13:37:08ZengMDPI AGEnvironmental Sciences Proceedings2673-49312023-08-01261210.3390/environsciproc2023026002Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, GreeceSofia Papadogiannaki0Serafeim Kontos1Daphne Parliari2Dimitrios Melas3Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, School of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, GreeceLaboratory of Atmospheric Physics, School of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, GreeceLaboratory of Atmospheric Physics, School of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, GreeceLaboratory of Atmospheric Physics, School of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, GreeceAirborne pollen triggers allergic reactions in up to 40% of the global population. The incidence of pollen allergies is increasing in Thessaloniki, Greece and it is predicted that more than 50% of the European Union’s inhabitants will suffer from allergic rhinitis by 2025. Thus, it is essential to investigate and predict high pollen concentrations to address this growing concern. This study utilized the Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR) technique, a machine learning approach, to estimate pollen concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus taxa, using daily meteorological and land surface data obtained from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The method accurately predicted pollen concentrations for both species, with an Index of Agreement (IoA) of 0.86 for Oleaceae and 0.78 for Quercus, despite the limited size of the dataset.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4931/26/1/2airborne pollenpollen concentrationsOleaceaeQuercusmachine learningGradient Boosting Regression
spellingShingle Sofia Papadogiannaki
Serafeim Kontos
Daphne Parliari
Dimitrios Melas
Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece
Environmental Sciences Proceedings
airborne pollen
pollen concentrations
Oleaceae
Quercus
machine learning
Gradient Boosting Regression
title Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece
title_full Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece
title_fullStr Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece
title_short Machine Learning Regression to Predict Pollen Concentrations of Oleaceae and Quercus Taxa in Thessaloniki, Greece
title_sort machine learning regression to predict pollen concentrations of oleaceae and quercus taxa in thessaloniki greece
topic airborne pollen
pollen concentrations
Oleaceae
Quercus
machine learning
Gradient Boosting Regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4931/26/1/2
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