Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India

Emerging markets’ political, economic, and social transition processes led to altered demographic trends and new macroeconomic dynamics in these economies. These changes triggered the growth of the middle class that became an essential factor of emerging markets’ attractiveness for sales and product...

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Main Authors: Vide Romana Korez, Zavrl Irena, Hunjet Anica
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2021-12-01
Series:Naše Gospodarstvo
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0020
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author Vide Romana Korez
Zavrl Irena
Hunjet Anica
author_facet Vide Romana Korez
Zavrl Irena
Hunjet Anica
author_sort Vide Romana Korez
collection DOAJ
description Emerging markets’ political, economic, and social transition processes led to altered demographic trends and new macroeconomic dynamics in these economies. These changes triggered the growth of the middle class that became an essential factor of emerging markets’ attractiveness for sales and production activities of foreign firms. The purpose of this article is to analyze the demographic and macroeconomic trends of China and India in the decades before the COVID-19 crisis, aimed at estimating their role in the growth of the middle class and the consequent attractiveness of these two important emerging markets for foreign firms. We formulate our research findings on the extensive theoretical foundations and empirical analysis of selected demographic and macroeconomic indicators related to the growth of the middle class. We established that India fell behind China considerably concerning demographic transition and macroeconomic dynamics in the observed periods. China enforced a radical demographic transition. The comparative analysis of macroeconomic dynamics showed a solid leadership of China in economic growth, international trade and investment openness, technological advancement, employment, the structure of the output, domestic investment, urbanization, and salaried workers. Consequently, we estimated the lower growth of the Indian middle class and its lower importance in foreign firms’ decisions to enter the Indian market. The findings brought some implications for international managers at segmenting and selecting target foreign markets.
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spelling doaj.art-3c3246c7b766470881af042e86c8a2b52022-12-22T02:41:00ZengSciendoNaše Gospodarstvo2385-80522021-12-01674335510.2478/ngoe-2021-0020Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and IndiaVide Romana Korez0Zavrl Irena1Hunjet Anica2University of Maribor, Faculty of Economics and Business, SloveniaUniversity of Applied Sciences Burgenland, AustriaUniversity North, CroatiaEmerging markets’ political, economic, and social transition processes led to altered demographic trends and new macroeconomic dynamics in these economies. These changes triggered the growth of the middle class that became an essential factor of emerging markets’ attractiveness for sales and production activities of foreign firms. The purpose of this article is to analyze the demographic and macroeconomic trends of China and India in the decades before the COVID-19 crisis, aimed at estimating their role in the growth of the middle class and the consequent attractiveness of these two important emerging markets for foreign firms. We formulate our research findings on the extensive theoretical foundations and empirical analysis of selected demographic and macroeconomic indicators related to the growth of the middle class. We established that India fell behind China considerably concerning demographic transition and macroeconomic dynamics in the observed periods. China enforced a radical demographic transition. The comparative analysis of macroeconomic dynamics showed a solid leadership of China in economic growth, international trade and investment openness, technological advancement, employment, the structure of the output, domestic investment, urbanization, and salaried workers. Consequently, we estimated the lower growth of the Indian middle class and its lower importance in foreign firms’ decisions to enter the Indian market. The findings brought some implications for international managers at segmenting and selecting target foreign markets.https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0020emerging marketmiddle classdemographic transitionmacroeconomic dynamicsinternational businesschinaindiaf23f62j11n35
spellingShingle Vide Romana Korez
Zavrl Irena
Hunjet Anica
Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India
Naše Gospodarstvo
emerging market
middle class
demographic transition
macroeconomic dynamics
international business
china
india
f23
f62
j11
n35
title Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India
title_full Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India
title_fullStr Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India
title_short Exploring Emerging Markets’ Demographic and Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Middle Class Growth: The Case of China and India
title_sort exploring emerging markets demographic and macroeconomic dynamics and the middle class growth the case of china and india
topic emerging market
middle class
demographic transition
macroeconomic dynamics
international business
china
india
f23
f62
j11
n35
url https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0020
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AT hunjetanica exploringemergingmarketsdemographicandmacroeconomicdynamicsandthemiddleclassgrowththecaseofchinaandindia