Brood size in an uncertain world

Reproduction in an uncertain world is fraught. The consequences of investing in too many offspring in a resource poor season can be disastrous but so too is missing the opportunity of a resource rich year. We consider a simple population and individual growth model and use Lyapunov exponents to find...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Alex James, Alexander Hann, E. Penelope Holland
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2023-06-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.221362
_version_ 1827919900427943936
author Alex James
Alexander Hann
E. Penelope Holland
author_facet Alex James
Alexander Hann
E. Penelope Holland
author_sort Alex James
collection DOAJ
description Reproduction in an uncertain world is fraught. The consequences of investing in too many offspring in a resource poor season can be disastrous but so too is missing the opportunity of a resource rich year. We consider a simple population and individual growth model and use Lyapunov exponents to find analytical results for the optimum brood size under stochastic environmental conditions. We show that if the environment shows dramatic changes between breeding seasons choosing a smaller brood size is more likely to be successful but the best strategy is to synchronize your reproduction to the food availability. Finally, we show that if the cost of having offspring is high it can be better to live in a highly varying world with a plastic strategy that synchronizes to the environment than to live in a deterministic world with a constant strategy, a finding with implications for invasive species and climate change.
first_indexed 2024-03-13T04:05:04Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3c83111f4b2a4b8e9fc6ef435c8c5832
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2054-5703
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T04:05:04Z
publishDate 2023-06-01
publisher The Royal Society
record_format Article
series Royal Society Open Science
spelling doaj.art-3c83111f4b2a4b8e9fc6ef435c8c58322023-06-21T07:46:41ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032023-06-0110610.1098/rsos.221362Brood size in an uncertain worldAlex James0Alexander Hann1E. Penelope Holland2School of Maths and Stats, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New ZealandSchool of Maths and Stats, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New ZealandDepartment of Biology, University of York, York, UKReproduction in an uncertain world is fraught. The consequences of investing in too many offspring in a resource poor season can be disastrous but so too is missing the opportunity of a resource rich year. We consider a simple population and individual growth model and use Lyapunov exponents to find analytical results for the optimum brood size under stochastic environmental conditions. We show that if the environment shows dramatic changes between breeding seasons choosing a smaller brood size is more likely to be successful but the best strategy is to synchronize your reproduction to the food availability. Finally, we show that if the cost of having offspring is high it can be better to live in a highly varying world with a plastic strategy that synchronizes to the environment than to live in a deterministic world with a constant strategy, a finding with implications for invasive species and climate change.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.221362mastingreproductionstochastic modeloptimal brood size
spellingShingle Alex James
Alexander Hann
E. Penelope Holland
Brood size in an uncertain world
Royal Society Open Science
masting
reproduction
stochastic model
optimal brood size
title Brood size in an uncertain world
title_full Brood size in an uncertain world
title_fullStr Brood size in an uncertain world
title_full_unstemmed Brood size in an uncertain world
title_short Brood size in an uncertain world
title_sort brood size in an uncertain world
topic masting
reproduction
stochastic model
optimal brood size
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.221362
work_keys_str_mv AT alexjames broodsizeinanuncertainworld
AT alexanderhann broodsizeinanuncertainworld
AT epenelopeholland broodsizeinanuncertainworld