Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region
The study of the issues of forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations in modern conditions is necessary and relevant. Development of forecasting tools in the management system of modern agricultural organization has a significant impact on improving the efficiency and effectiveness of...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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EDP Sciences
2022-01-01
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| Series: | BIO Web of Conferences |
| Online Access: | https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2022/11/bioconf_fies2022_00018.pdf |
| _version_ | 1818017385045557248 |
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| author | Iskhakov Albert Klychova Guzaliya Ostaev Gamlet Konina Elena Gainutdinova Ekaterina Milova Yelena |
| author_facet | Iskhakov Albert Klychova Guzaliya Ostaev Gamlet Konina Elena Gainutdinova Ekaterina Milova Yelena |
| author_sort | Iskhakov Albert |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The study of the issues of forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations in modern conditions is necessary and relevant. Development of forecasting tools in the management system of modern agricultural organization has a significant impact on improving the efficiency and effectiveness of its production and economic activity. In our opinion, the methodology of assessing the sustainability and effectiveness of agricultural organizations should be aimed at combining static and dynamic approaches, which is demonstrated in the present study. In economic practice, the possibility of managing the factors of socio-economic phenomena determines the need to measure their relationships. Multifactor correlation and regression analysis allows to estimate the measure of influence on the studied result indicator of each of the factors included in the model at a fixed position of other factors, as well as at any possible combinations of factors with a certain degree of accuracy. Correlation and regression analysis allows taking into account influence of various factors in forecast calculations. The research allows to create the forecasting variants of economical-mathematical models of activity of enterprise that allows to choose the trajectories of the most effective economic development. As an analysis and application of forecasting tools we chose a sub-sector of agriculture of the Republic of Tatarstan - dairy cattle breeding. The analysis of dairy cattle breeding of Russia and the Republic of Tatarstan for the last 30 years is given in the article, the food security issues are considered, the multifactorial correlation-regression model of economic activity of cattle breeding enterprises of the Republic of Tatarstan is built. As a result, based on the regression equation, the average annual milk yield per 1 cow was predicted. Thus, on the basis of the obtained results, it is possible to develop further action plan to improve the production-economic activity of the enterprise and search for reserves in increasing its efficiency. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-14T07:26:17Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3c935f59e2a040f4ae4a1eed42cb2274 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2117-4458 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-14T07:26:17Z |
| publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BIO Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj.art-3c935f59e2a040f4ae4a1eed42cb22742022-12-22T02:06:00ZengEDP SciencesBIO Web of Conferences2117-44582022-01-01520001810.1051/bioconf/20225200018bioconf_fies2022_00018Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the regionIskhakov Albert0Klychova Guzaliya1Ostaev Gamlet2Konina Elena3Gainutdinova Ekaterina4Milova Yelena5Kazan State Agrarian UniversityKazan State Agrarian UniversityIzhevsk State Agricultural AcademyIzhevsk State Agricultural AcademyIzhevsk State Agricultural AcademyKorkyt Ata Kyzylorda UniversityThe study of the issues of forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations in modern conditions is necessary and relevant. Development of forecasting tools in the management system of modern agricultural organization has a significant impact on improving the efficiency and effectiveness of its production and economic activity. In our opinion, the methodology of assessing the sustainability and effectiveness of agricultural organizations should be aimed at combining static and dynamic approaches, which is demonstrated in the present study. In economic practice, the possibility of managing the factors of socio-economic phenomena determines the need to measure their relationships. Multifactor correlation and regression analysis allows to estimate the measure of influence on the studied result indicator of each of the factors included in the model at a fixed position of other factors, as well as at any possible combinations of factors with a certain degree of accuracy. Correlation and regression analysis allows taking into account influence of various factors in forecast calculations. The research allows to create the forecasting variants of economical-mathematical models of activity of enterprise that allows to choose the trajectories of the most effective economic development. As an analysis and application of forecasting tools we chose a sub-sector of agriculture of the Republic of Tatarstan - dairy cattle breeding. The analysis of dairy cattle breeding of Russia and the Republic of Tatarstan for the last 30 years is given in the article, the food security issues are considered, the multifactorial correlation-regression model of economic activity of cattle breeding enterprises of the Republic of Tatarstan is built. As a result, based on the regression equation, the average annual milk yield per 1 cow was predicted. Thus, on the basis of the obtained results, it is possible to develop further action plan to improve the production-economic activity of the enterprise and search for reserves in increasing its efficiency.https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2022/11/bioconf_fies2022_00018.pdf |
| spellingShingle | Iskhakov Albert Klychova Guzaliya Ostaev Gamlet Konina Elena Gainutdinova Ekaterina Milova Yelena Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region BIO Web of Conferences |
| title | Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region |
| title_full | Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region |
| title_fullStr | Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region |
| title_full_unstemmed | Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region |
| title_short | Development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region |
| title_sort | development of methodological tools for forecasting the activities of agricultural organizations to ensure food security in the region |
| url | https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2022/11/bioconf_fies2022_00018.pdf |
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