THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS

The article analyzes the results of the EU – Turkey migration deal of 2016, which is an example of successful externalization of the problem of border control and refugee maintain. Comparing the terms of the deal with the result of their implementation after 6 years of operation, the author comes to...

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Main Author: Viktoriia V. Krapivina
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Institute of Europe Russian Academy of Sciences 2022-06-01
Series:Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН
Subjects:
Online Access:http://vestnikieran.instituteofeurope.ru/images/3-2022/Krapivina32022.pdf
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author Viktoriia V. Krapivina
author_facet Viktoriia V. Krapivina
author_sort Viktoriia V. Krapivina
collection DOAJ
description The article analyzes the results of the EU – Turkey migration deal of 2016, which is an example of successful externalization of the problem of border control and refugee maintain. Comparing the terms of the deal with the result of their implementation after 6 years of operation, the author comes to the conclusion that in fact the effect of the deal is reduced to the fulfillment of two of its necessary requirements – EU’s funding for the needs of Syrian refugees and Turkey’s readiness to ensure their maintenance on its territory. The author investigates possible scenarios of Turkey’s behavior in the context of its dissatisfaction with migration cooperation with the EU. Its interests regarding the implementation of agreements on the visa regime, renewal of the Customs Union and accession to the EU are not respected, and Turkey also is being tested by the deterioration of the domestic political situation. It is noted that the influx of refugees from Ukraine in the spring of 2022 finally displaced issues related to the stay of Syrians in Turkey from the European agenda. The author claims that the deal will maintain its status quo despite the fact that the parties evaluate the effectiveness of the agreement differently. This will be facilitated to a greater extent by the readiness of the European Union to continue financing the activity of the EU Facility for Refugees in Turkey, Ankara’s failed attempt to put pressure on Brussels earlier and the unwillingness of most Syrians to return to their homeland.
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spelling doaj.art-3c981becfd1342f3a872b6e8a37b4f0f2022-12-22T03:39:10ZrusInstitute of Europe Russian Academy of SciencesНаучно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН2618-79142022-06-01273213210.15211/vestnikieran320222132THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTSViktoriia V. Krapivina0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3253-785XMGIMO UniversityThe article analyzes the results of the EU – Turkey migration deal of 2016, which is an example of successful externalization of the problem of border control and refugee maintain. Comparing the terms of the deal with the result of their implementation after 6 years of operation, the author comes to the conclusion that in fact the effect of the deal is reduced to the fulfillment of two of its necessary requirements – EU’s funding for the needs of Syrian refugees and Turkey’s readiness to ensure their maintenance on its territory. The author investigates possible scenarios of Turkey’s behavior in the context of its dissatisfaction with migration cooperation with the EU. Its interests regarding the implementation of agreements on the visa regime, renewal of the Customs Union and accession to the EU are not respected, and Turkey also is being tested by the deterioration of the domestic political situation. It is noted that the influx of refugees from Ukraine in the spring of 2022 finally displaced issues related to the stay of Syrians in Turkey from the European agenda. The author claims that the deal will maintain its status quo despite the fact that the parties evaluate the effectiveness of the agreement differently. This will be facilitated to a greater extent by the readiness of the European Union to continue financing the activity of the EU Facility for Refugees in Turkey, Ankara’s failed attempt to put pressure on Brussels earlier and the unwillingness of most Syrians to return to their homeland.http://vestnikieran.instituteofeurope.ru/images/3-2022/Krapivina32022.pdfturkeyeuropean unionsyriamigration crisismigrantsrefugeesasylum seekersrecep tayyip erdoganeu – turkey migration dealeu – turkey statement
spellingShingle Viktoriia V. Krapivina
THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН
turkey
european union
syria
migration crisis
migrants
refugees
asylum seekers
recep tayyip erdogan
eu – turkey migration deal
eu – turkey statement
title THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
title_full THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
title_fullStr THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
title_full_unstemmed THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
title_short THE EU – TURKEY MIGRATION DEAL: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
title_sort eu turkey migration deal results and prospects
topic turkey
european union
syria
migration crisis
migrants
refugees
asylum seekers
recep tayyip erdogan
eu – turkey migration deal
eu – turkey statement
url http://vestnikieran.instituteofeurope.ru/images/3-2022/Krapivina32022.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT viktoriiavkrapivina theeuturkeymigrationdealresultsandprospects
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