Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression

The main part of the study will be to demonstrate that models taking into account spatial heterogeneity (Geographically Weighted Regression and Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression) which reproduce housing market determinants better reflect market relationships than conventional regression model...

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Main Authors: Radosław Cellmer, Aneta Cichulska, Mirosław Bełej
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-06-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/6/380
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author Radosław Cellmer
Aneta Cichulska
Mirosław Bełej
author_facet Radosław Cellmer
Aneta Cichulska
Mirosław Bełej
author_sort Radosław Cellmer
collection DOAJ
description The main part of the study will be to demonstrate that models taking into account spatial heterogeneity (Geographically Weighted Regression and Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression) which reproduce housing market determinants better reflect market relationships than conventional regression models. The spatial heterogeneity of the housing market determinants results in the spatial diversity of the market activity, as well as of real estate prices and values. The main aim of the study was to analyse an effect of these socio-demographic and environmental factors on average housing property prices and on the number of transactions in a spatial approach. In previous research conducted on a national scale, usually all variables were treated in a similar way, i.e., as global or local variables. During the research, an attempt was also made to answer the question of which of the variables adopted for analysis have a local impact on prices and market activity, and which are global. The study was conducted in Poland and used data from the year 2018 on 380 counties (Local Administrative Units). The study showed that determinants both for average prices and for the housing market activity show spatial autocorrelation with high–high and low–low cluster groups. Owing to these models, it was possible to draw specific conclusions on local determinants of flat prices and the market activity in Poland. The study findings have confirmed that they are an extremely effective tool for spatial data analysis.
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spelling doaj.art-3cda784743184ef3a7bb2b229c89278a2023-11-20T03:20:05ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642020-06-019638010.3390/ijgi9060380Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted RegressionRadosław Cellmer0Aneta Cichulska1Mirosław Bełej2Department of Spatial Analysis and Real Estate Market, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-720 Olsztyn, PolandDepartment of Spatial Analysis and Real Estate Market, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-720 Olsztyn, PolandDepartment of Spatial Analysis and Real Estate Market, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-720 Olsztyn, PolandThe main part of the study will be to demonstrate that models taking into account spatial heterogeneity (Geographically Weighted Regression and Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression) which reproduce housing market determinants better reflect market relationships than conventional regression models. The spatial heterogeneity of the housing market determinants results in the spatial diversity of the market activity, as well as of real estate prices and values. The main aim of the study was to analyse an effect of these socio-demographic and environmental factors on average housing property prices and on the number of transactions in a spatial approach. In previous research conducted on a national scale, usually all variables were treated in a similar way, i.e., as global or local variables. During the research, an attempt was also made to answer the question of which of the variables adopted for analysis have a local impact on prices and market activity, and which are global. The study was conducted in Poland and used data from the year 2018 on 380 counties (Local Administrative Units). The study showed that determinants both for average prices and for the housing market activity show spatial autocorrelation with high–high and low–low cluster groups. Owing to these models, it was possible to draw specific conclusions on local determinants of flat prices and the market activity in Poland. The study findings have confirmed that they are an extremely effective tool for spatial data analysis.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/6/380housing pricesmarket activityspatial analysisgeographically weighted regressionmixed geographically weighted regression
spellingShingle Radosław Cellmer
Aneta Cichulska
Mirosław Bełej
Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
housing prices
market activity
spatial analysis
geographically weighted regression
mixed geographically weighted regression
title Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression
title_full Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression
title_fullStr Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression
title_full_unstemmed Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression
title_short Spatial Analysis of Housing Prices and Market Activity with the Geographically Weighted Regression
title_sort spatial analysis of housing prices and market activity with the geographically weighted regression
topic housing prices
market activity
spatial analysis
geographically weighted regression
mixed geographically weighted regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/6/380
work_keys_str_mv AT radosławcellmer spatialanalysisofhousingpricesandmarketactivitywiththegeographicallyweightedregression
AT anetacichulska spatialanalysisofhousingpricesandmarketactivitywiththegeographicallyweightedregression
AT mirosławbełej spatialanalysisofhousingpricesandmarketactivitywiththegeographicallyweightedregression