Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5
Throughout the year, particularly during the dry season, the northern peninsula of Southeast Asia struggles with air pollution from PM<sub>2.5</sub>. In this study, we used the Nested Regional Climate and Chemistry Model (NRCM-Chem) to predict the PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrati...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2022-02-01
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| Series: | Atmosphere |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/305 |
| _version_ | 1797482792695627776 |
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| author | Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen Vanisa Surapipith Ronald C. Macatangay |
| author_facet | Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen Vanisa Surapipith Ronald C. Macatangay |
| author_sort | Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Throughout the year, particularly during the dry season, the northern peninsula of Southeast Asia struggles with air pollution from PM<sub>2.5</sub>. In this study, we used the Nested Regional Climate and Chemistry Model (NRCM-Chem) to predict the PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations over Southeast Asia’s northern peninsula during the years 2020–2029 under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)8.5. In general, the model reasonably shows a good result, including temperature, precipitation, and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration, compared to the observation with an Index of Agreement (IOA) in the range of 0.63 to 0.80. However, there were some underestimations for modeled precipitation and temperature and an overestimation for modeled PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration. As a response to changes in climatic parameters and the emission of PM<sub>2.5</sub>’s precursors, PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations tend to increase across the region in the range of (+1) to (+35) µg/m<sup>3</sup> during the dry season (November to April) and decline in the range of (−3) to (−30) µg/m<sup>3</sup> during the wet season (May to October). The maximum increase in PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations were found in March by >40 µg/m<sup>3</sup>. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T22:37:33Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3ce79dc05b4f478b8b7c1518d0d60553 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4433 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T22:37:33Z |
| publishDate | 2022-02-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmosphere |
| spelling | doaj.art-3ce79dc05b4f478b8b7c1518d0d605532023-11-23T18:45:34ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332022-02-0113230510.3390/atmos13020305Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen0Vanisa Surapipith1Ronald C. Macatangay2Department of Environmental Science, School of Energy and Environment, University of Phayao, Phayao 56000, ThailandNational Astronomical Research Institute of Thailand, Chiang Mai 50180, ThailandNational Astronomical Research Institute of Thailand, Chiang Mai 50180, ThailandThroughout the year, particularly during the dry season, the northern peninsula of Southeast Asia struggles with air pollution from PM<sub>2.5</sub>. In this study, we used the Nested Regional Climate and Chemistry Model (NRCM-Chem) to predict the PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations over Southeast Asia’s northern peninsula during the years 2020–2029 under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)8.5. In general, the model reasonably shows a good result, including temperature, precipitation, and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration, compared to the observation with an Index of Agreement (IOA) in the range of 0.63 to 0.80. However, there were some underestimations for modeled precipitation and temperature and an overestimation for modeled PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration. As a response to changes in climatic parameters and the emission of PM<sub>2.5</sub>’s precursors, PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations tend to increase across the region in the range of (+1) to (+35) µg/m<sup>3</sup> during the dry season (November to April) and decline in the range of (−3) to (−30) µg/m<sup>3</sup> during the wet season (May to October). The maximum increase in PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations were found in March by >40 µg/m<sup>3</sup>.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/305PM<sub>2.5</sub>climate changeemission changeNRCMbiomass burning |
| spellingShingle | Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen Vanisa Surapipith Ronald C. Macatangay Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5 Atmosphere PM<sub>2.5</sub> climate change emission change NRCM biomass burning |
| title | Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5 |
| title_full | Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5 |
| title_fullStr | Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5 |
| title_short | Projection of the Near-Future PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Northern Peninsular Southeast Asia under RCP8.5 |
| title_sort | projection of the near future pm sub 2 5 sub in northern peninsular southeast asia under rcp8 5 |
| topic | PM<sub>2.5</sub> climate change emission change NRCM biomass burning |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/305 |
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