Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria

In this study the annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for South-South, Nigeria was collected from the archive of NiMet. Three methods were used for the analysis; statistical differences between two the equal-length time scales, coefficient of variability and the anomaly approach. The tr...

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Main Authors: K.E. Ukhurebor, I.C. Abiodun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Joint Coordination Centre of the World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Programme (NARP) 2018-05-01
Series:Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jasem/article/view/170491
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author K.E. Ukhurebor
I.C. Abiodun
author_facet K.E. Ukhurebor
I.C. Abiodun
author_sort K.E. Ukhurebor
collection DOAJ
description In this study the annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for South-South, Nigeria was collected from the archive of NiMet. Three methods were used for the analysis; statistical differences between two the equal-length time scales, coefficient of variability and the anomaly approach. The trend analysis using t-test, Sen’s estimator slope and Mann Kendall were also carried out in order to determine the trend in the rainfall variables. The results show that the differences between the two means of the equal-length time scales revealed variability of 7.00mm. Similarly, the CV of rainfall was 0.145 signifying low variability. However, the anomaly results revealed that 21 years (52.5%) recorded less rainfall; while 19 years (47.5%) recorded much rainfall. The Sen’s estimator slope revealed downward trend of 94mm/yr in 1978-1987 decades; while it recorded upward trends of; 90mm/yr, 30mm/yr and 118mm/yr during the 1988-1997, 1998-2007 and 2008-2017 decades respectively. This study has further revealed that there are variations in the rainfall. Consequently, there is an optimum need to sensitize the general public about its existence in order to take the necessary measures and adaptation options for its mollification and management. Keywords: Climate; Rainfall; Variation; Homogenous; Statistical package
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spelling doaj.art-3d1165a8691b4a47b96ebaf24ed3ee112024-04-02T19:51:51ZengJoint Coordination Centre of the World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Programme (NARP)Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management2659-15022659-14992018-05-0122410.4314/jasem.v22i4.13Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, NigeriaK.E. UkhureborI.C. Abiodun In this study the annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for South-South, Nigeria was collected from the archive of NiMet. Three methods were used for the analysis; statistical differences between two the equal-length time scales, coefficient of variability and the anomaly approach. The trend analysis using t-test, Sen’s estimator slope and Mann Kendall were also carried out in order to determine the trend in the rainfall variables. The results show that the differences between the two means of the equal-length time scales revealed variability of 7.00mm. Similarly, the CV of rainfall was 0.145 signifying low variability. However, the anomaly results revealed that 21 years (52.5%) recorded less rainfall; while 19 years (47.5%) recorded much rainfall. The Sen’s estimator slope revealed downward trend of 94mm/yr in 1978-1987 decades; while it recorded upward trends of; 90mm/yr, 30mm/yr and 118mm/yr during the 1988-1997, 1998-2007 and 2008-2017 decades respectively. This study has further revealed that there are variations in the rainfall. Consequently, there is an optimum need to sensitize the general public about its existence in order to take the necessary measures and adaptation options for its mollification and management. Keywords: Climate; Rainfall; Variation; Homogenous; Statistical package https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jasem/article/view/170491ClimateRainfallVariationHomogenousStatistical package
spellingShingle K.E. Ukhurebor
I.C. Abiodun
Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria
Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
Climate
Rainfall
Variation
Homogenous
Statistical package
title Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria
title_full Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria
title_fullStr Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria
title_short Variation in annual rainfall data of forty years (1978-2017) for south-south, Nigeria
title_sort variation in annual rainfall data of forty years 1978 2017 for south south nigeria
topic Climate
Rainfall
Variation
Homogenous
Statistical package
url https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jasem/article/view/170491
work_keys_str_mv AT keukhurebor variationinannualrainfalldataoffortyyears19782017forsouthsouthnigeria
AT icabiodun variationinannualrainfalldataoffortyyears19782017forsouthsouthnigeria