Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies

We study a joint model where logistic regression is applied to binary longitudinal data with a mismeasured time-varying covariate that is modeled using a mechanistic nonlinear model. Multiple random effects are necessary to characterize the trajectories of the covariate and the response variable, le...

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Main Author: Hongbin Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/10/2317
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author Hongbin Zhang
author_facet Hongbin Zhang
author_sort Hongbin Zhang
collection DOAJ
description We study a joint model where logistic regression is applied to binary longitudinal data with a mismeasured time-varying covariate that is modeled using a mechanistic nonlinear model. Multiple random effects are necessary to characterize the trajectories of the covariate and the response variable, leading to a high dimensional integral in the likelihood. To account for the computational challenge, we propose a stochastic expectation-maximization (StEM) algorithm with a Gibbs sampler coupled with Metropolis–Hastings sampling for the inference. In contrast with previous developments, this algorithm uses single imputation of the missing data during the Monte Carlo procedure, substantially increasing the computing speed. Through simulation, we assess the algorithm’s convergence and compare the algorithm with more classical approaches for handling measurement errors. We also conduct a real-world data analysis to gain insights into the association between CD4 count and viral load during HIV treatment.
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spelling doaj.art-3d18637bc57846f08a98405b2844b0332023-11-18T02:19:17ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902023-05-011110231710.3390/math11102317Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal StudiesHongbin Zhang0Department of Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40536, USAWe study a joint model where logistic regression is applied to binary longitudinal data with a mismeasured time-varying covariate that is modeled using a mechanistic nonlinear model. Multiple random effects are necessary to characterize the trajectories of the covariate and the response variable, leading to a high dimensional integral in the likelihood. To account for the computational challenge, we propose a stochastic expectation-maximization (StEM) algorithm with a Gibbs sampler coupled with Metropolis–Hastings sampling for the inference. In contrast with previous developments, this algorithm uses single imputation of the missing data during the Monte Carlo procedure, substantially increasing the computing speed. Through simulation, we assess the algorithm’s convergence and compare the algorithm with more classical approaches for handling measurement errors. We also conduct a real-world data analysis to gain insights into the association between CD4 count and viral load during HIV treatment.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/10/2317logistic regressionlongitudinal binary datameasurement errortime-varying covariatemechanistc nonelinear modelstochastic EM
spellingShingle Hongbin Zhang
Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies
Mathematics
logistic regression
longitudinal binary data
measurement error
time-varying covariate
mechanistc nonelinear model
stochastic EM
title Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies
title_full Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies
title_fullStr Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies
title_short Stochastic EM Algorithm for Joint Model of Logistic Regression and Mechanistic Nonlinear Model in Longitudinal Studies
title_sort stochastic em algorithm for joint model of logistic regression and mechanistic nonlinear model in longitudinal studies
topic logistic regression
longitudinal binary data
measurement error
time-varying covariate
mechanistc nonelinear model
stochastic EM
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/10/2317
work_keys_str_mv AT hongbinzhang stochasticemalgorithmforjointmodeloflogisticregressionandmechanisticnonlinearmodelinlongitudinalstudies