Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns

Bitcoin is the digital currency of the digital economy. This article is an attempt to reveal the effects of policy uncertainty on Bitcoin returns with economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US, the UK, Japan, China, and Hong Kong. Furthermore, we also present the results of monetary policy uncerta...

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Main Author: Imlak Shaikh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-09-01
Series:Borsa Istanbul Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845020300144
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author Imlak Shaikh
author_facet Imlak Shaikh
author_sort Imlak Shaikh
collection DOAJ
description Bitcoin is the digital currency of the digital economy. This article is an attempt to reveal the effects of policy uncertainty on Bitcoin returns with economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US, the UK, Japan, China, and Hong Kong. Furthermore, we also present the results of monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) on the Bitcoin market. The robust estimations from the quantile regression and Markov regime-switching model show that Bitcoin returns are affected by EPU. One of the essential findings is that Bitcoin returns are more responsive to EPU in the US, China, and Japan. In the US and Japan, uncertainty has a negative effect on the Bitcoin market whereas in China it has a positive effect. Global MPU uncertainty is also significant in explaining Bitcoin exchange rates. Moreover, the Bitcoin market is negatively affected by uncertainty in Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the gross domestic product, and other macroeconomic data. Uncertainty in the equity market and Bitcoin returns are negatively associated.
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spelling doaj.art-3d2ba152cfee41a0b3e34963d07716d62022-12-22T03:24:16ZengElsevierBorsa Istanbul Review2214-84502020-09-01203257268Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returnsImlak Shaikh0Department of Accounting and Finance, Management Development Institute Gurgaon, Haryana, 122007, IndiaBitcoin is the digital currency of the digital economy. This article is an attempt to reveal the effects of policy uncertainty on Bitcoin returns with economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US, the UK, Japan, China, and Hong Kong. Furthermore, we also present the results of monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) on the Bitcoin market. The robust estimations from the quantile regression and Markov regime-switching model show that Bitcoin returns are affected by EPU. One of the essential findings is that Bitcoin returns are more responsive to EPU in the US, China, and Japan. In the US and Japan, uncertainty has a negative effect on the Bitcoin market whereas in China it has a positive effect. Global MPU uncertainty is also significant in explaining Bitcoin exchange rates. Moreover, the Bitcoin market is negatively affected by uncertainty in Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the gross domestic product, and other macroeconomic data. Uncertainty in the equity market and Bitcoin returns are negatively associated.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845020300144C22D81G15
spellingShingle Imlak Shaikh
Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns
Borsa Istanbul Review
C22
D81
G15
title Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns
title_full Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns
title_fullStr Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns
title_full_unstemmed Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns
title_short Policy uncertainty and Bitcoin returns
title_sort policy uncertainty and bitcoin returns
topic C22
D81
G15
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845020300144
work_keys_str_mv AT imlakshaikh policyuncertaintyandbitcoinreturns