Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania

Abstract Understanding what factors predict whether an urban migrant will end up in a deprived neighbourhood or not could help prevent the exploitation of vulnerable individuals. This study leveraged pseudonymized mobile money interactions combined with cell phone data to shed light on urban migrati...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rosa Lavelle-Hill, John Harvey, Gavin Smith, Anjali Mazumder, Madeleine Ellis, Kelefa Mwantimwa, James Goulding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-05-01
Series:EPJ Data Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00340-y
_version_ 1818250976381894656
author Rosa Lavelle-Hill
John Harvey
Gavin Smith
Anjali Mazumder
Madeleine Ellis
Kelefa Mwantimwa
James Goulding
author_facet Rosa Lavelle-Hill
John Harvey
Gavin Smith
Anjali Mazumder
Madeleine Ellis
Kelefa Mwantimwa
James Goulding
author_sort Rosa Lavelle-Hill
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Understanding what factors predict whether an urban migrant will end up in a deprived neighbourhood or not could help prevent the exploitation of vulnerable individuals. This study leveraged pseudonymized mobile money interactions combined with cell phone data to shed light on urban migration patterns and deprivation in Tanzania. Call detail records were used to identify individuals who migrated to Dar es Salaam, Tanzania’s largest city. A street survey of the city’s subwards was used to determine which individuals moved to more deprived areas. t-tests showed that people who settled in poorer neighbourhoods had less money coming into their mobile money account after they moved, but not before. A machine learning approach was then utilized to predict which migrants will move to poorer areas of the city, making them arguably more vulnerable to poverty, unemployment and exploitation. Features indicating the strength and location of people’s social connections in Dar es Salaam before they moved (‘pull factors’) were found to be most predictive, more so than traditional ‘push factors’ such as proxies for poverty in the migrant’s source region.
first_indexed 2024-12-12T16:00:56Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3d32b3af294b48568faf93bf7ba1c4dd
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2193-1127
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-12T16:00:56Z
publishDate 2022-05-01
publisher SpringerOpen
record_format Article
series EPJ Data Science
spelling doaj.art-3d32b3af294b48568faf93bf7ba1c4dd2022-12-22T00:19:23ZengSpringerOpenEPJ Data Science2193-11272022-05-0111112310.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00340-yUsing mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in TanzaniaRosa Lavelle-Hill0John Harvey1Gavin Smith2Anjali Mazumder3Madeleine Ellis4Kelefa Mwantimwa5James Goulding6University of TübingenThe University of NottinghamThe University of NottinghamThe Alan Turing InstituteThe University of NottinghamUniversity of Dar es SalaamThe University of NottinghamAbstract Understanding what factors predict whether an urban migrant will end up in a deprived neighbourhood or not could help prevent the exploitation of vulnerable individuals. This study leveraged pseudonymized mobile money interactions combined with cell phone data to shed light on urban migration patterns and deprivation in Tanzania. Call detail records were used to identify individuals who migrated to Dar es Salaam, Tanzania’s largest city. A street survey of the city’s subwards was used to determine which individuals moved to more deprived areas. t-tests showed that people who settled in poorer neighbourhoods had less money coming into their mobile money account after they moved, but not before. A machine learning approach was then utilized to predict which migrants will move to poorer areas of the city, making them arguably more vulnerable to poverty, unemployment and exploitation. Features indicating the strength and location of people’s social connections in Dar es Salaam before they moved (‘pull factors’) were found to be most predictive, more so than traditional ‘push factors’ such as proxies for poverty in the migrant’s source region.https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00340-yMobile moneyMachine learningMigrationCall detail recordsExploitationTanzania
spellingShingle Rosa Lavelle-Hill
John Harvey
Gavin Smith
Anjali Mazumder
Madeleine Ellis
Kelefa Mwantimwa
James Goulding
Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania
EPJ Data Science
Mobile money
Machine learning
Migration
Call detail records
Exploitation
Tanzania
title Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania
title_full Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania
title_fullStr Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania
title_short Using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in Tanzania
title_sort using mobile money data and call detail records to explore the risks of urban migration in tanzania
topic Mobile money
Machine learning
Migration
Call detail records
Exploitation
Tanzania
url https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00340-y
work_keys_str_mv AT rosalavellehill usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania
AT johnharvey usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania
AT gavinsmith usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania
AT anjalimazumder usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania
AT madeleineellis usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania
AT kelefamwantimwa usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania
AT jamesgoulding usingmobilemoneydataandcalldetailrecordstoexploretherisksofurbanmigrationintanzania