Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients

Abstract Background Lipid abnormality pervasively is associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus. To the best of our knowledge, there is no study that has examined the longitudinal changes in a wide range of serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects in association with the risk of develo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shahla Safari, Masoud Amini, Ashraf Aminorroaya, Awat Feizi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-08-01
Series:Lipids in Health and Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12944-020-01371-y
_version_ 1818187943671496704
author Shahla Safari
Masoud Amini
Ashraf Aminorroaya
Awat Feizi
author_facet Shahla Safari
Masoud Amini
Ashraf Aminorroaya
Awat Feizi
author_sort Shahla Safari
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Lipid abnormality pervasively is associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus. To the best of our knowledge, there is no study that has examined the longitudinal changes in a wide range of serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects in association with the risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus in the future. This study aimed to identify the patterns of changes in lipid profiles over time in prediabetic patients and to classify these subjects in order to highlight which patients are at high risk for future diabetes. Methods This prospective 16-year (2003–2019) cohort study was conducted among 1228 prediabetic subjects. The study subjects were followed, and the changes in their lipid profiles, including triglycerides, cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, were evaluated. The latent Markov model was used for data analysis. Results The mean (standard deviation) age of subjects was 44.0 (6.8) years, and 73.6% of them were female. The latent Markov model identified two latent states of subjects in terms of changes in lipid profiles: a low tendency to progress diabetes / high tendency to progress diabetes (74, 26%). The latent Markov model showed that the transition probability from a “low tendency to progress diabetic” state to a “high tendency to progress diabetic” state was lower than the transition probability from “high tendency to progress diabetic” state to “low tendency to progress diabetic” state. Conclusions The present study showed that more than half of the first-degree relatives of T2DM had approximately normal lipid profiles and that these patients are more inclined to transition from a higher- to a lower-tendency diabetic state. These findings confirm the value of regular screening of first-degree relatives of T2DM. Moreover, preventive intervention strategies are recommended to reduce their risk of developing T2DM.
first_indexed 2024-12-11T23:19:04Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3d4306eeb57540bb88e9ac63e2a09759
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1476-511X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-11T23:19:04Z
publishDate 2020-08-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series Lipids in Health and Disease
spelling doaj.art-3d4306eeb57540bb88e9ac63e2a097592022-12-22T00:46:23ZengBMCLipids in Health and Disease1476-511X2020-08-011911810.1186/s12944-020-01371-yPatterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patientsShahla Safari0Masoud Amini1Ashraf Aminorroaya2Awat Feizi3Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical SciencesAbstract Background Lipid abnormality pervasively is associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus. To the best of our knowledge, there is no study that has examined the longitudinal changes in a wide range of serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects in association with the risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus in the future. This study aimed to identify the patterns of changes in lipid profiles over time in prediabetic patients and to classify these subjects in order to highlight which patients are at high risk for future diabetes. Methods This prospective 16-year (2003–2019) cohort study was conducted among 1228 prediabetic subjects. The study subjects were followed, and the changes in their lipid profiles, including triglycerides, cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, were evaluated. The latent Markov model was used for data analysis. Results The mean (standard deviation) age of subjects was 44.0 (6.8) years, and 73.6% of them were female. The latent Markov model identified two latent states of subjects in terms of changes in lipid profiles: a low tendency to progress diabetes / high tendency to progress diabetes (74, 26%). The latent Markov model showed that the transition probability from a “low tendency to progress diabetic” state to a “high tendency to progress diabetic” state was lower than the transition probability from “high tendency to progress diabetic” state to “low tendency to progress diabetic” state. Conclusions The present study showed that more than half of the first-degree relatives of T2DM had approximately normal lipid profiles and that these patients are more inclined to transition from a higher- to a lower-tendency diabetic state. These findings confirm the value of regular screening of first-degree relatives of T2DM. Moreover, preventive intervention strategies are recommended to reduce their risk of developing T2DM.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12944-020-01371-yType 2 diabetesPrediabetesTriglyceridesCholesterolCholesterol HDLCholesterol LDL
spellingShingle Shahla Safari
Masoud Amini
Ashraf Aminorroaya
Awat Feizi
Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
Lipids in Health and Disease
Type 2 diabetes
Prediabetes
Triglycerides
Cholesterol
Cholesterol HDL
Cholesterol LDL
title Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
title_full Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
title_fullStr Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
title_full_unstemmed Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
title_short Patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects: results from a 16-year prospective cohort study among first-degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
title_sort patterns of changes in serum lipid profiles in prediabetic subjects results from a 16 year prospective cohort study among first degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients
topic Type 2 diabetes
Prediabetes
Triglycerides
Cholesterol
Cholesterol HDL
Cholesterol LDL
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12944-020-01371-y
work_keys_str_mv AT shahlasafari patternsofchangesinserumlipidprofilesinprediabeticsubjectsresultsfroma16yearprospectivecohortstudyamongfirstdegreerelativesoftype2diabeticpatients
AT masoudamini patternsofchangesinserumlipidprofilesinprediabeticsubjectsresultsfroma16yearprospectivecohortstudyamongfirstdegreerelativesoftype2diabeticpatients
AT ashrafaminorroaya patternsofchangesinserumlipidprofilesinprediabeticsubjectsresultsfroma16yearprospectivecohortstudyamongfirstdegreerelativesoftype2diabeticpatients
AT awatfeizi patternsofchangesinserumlipidprofilesinprediabeticsubjectsresultsfroma16yearprospectivecohortstudyamongfirstdegreerelativesoftype2diabeticpatients