The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran

Objective: To determine the significance of temperature, rainfall and humidity in the seasonal abundance of Anopheles stephensi in southern Iran. Methods: Data on the monthly abundance of Anopheles stephensi larvae and adults were gathered from earlier studies conducted between 2002 and 2019 in mala...

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Main Authors: Madineh Abbasi, Abbas Rahimi Foroushani, Tohid Jafari-Koshki, Kamran Pakdad, Hassan Vatandoost, Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications 2020-01-01
Series:Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.apjtm.org/article.asp?issn=1995-7645;year=2020;volume=13;issue=10;spage=448;epage=455;aulast=Abbasi
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author Madineh Abbasi
Abbas Rahimi Foroushani
Tohid Jafari-Koshki
Kamran Pakdad
Hassan Vatandoost
Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd
author_facet Madineh Abbasi
Abbas Rahimi Foroushani
Tohid Jafari-Koshki
Kamran Pakdad
Hassan Vatandoost
Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd
author_sort Madineh Abbasi
collection DOAJ
description Objective: To determine the significance of temperature, rainfall and humidity in the seasonal abundance of Anopheles stephensi in southern Iran. Methods: Data on the monthly abundance of Anopheles stephensi larvae and adults were gathered from earlier studies conducted between 2002 and 2019 in malaria prone areas of southeastern Iran. Climatic data for the studied counties were obtained from climatology stations. Generalized estimating equations method was used for cluster correlation of data for each study site in different years. Results: A significant relationship was found between monthly density of adult and larvae of Anopheles stephensi and precipitation, max temperature and mean temperature, both with simple and multiple generalized estimating equations analysis (P<0.05). But when analysis was done with one month lag, only relationship between monthly density of adults and larvae of Anopheles stephensi and max temperature was significant (P<0.05). Conclusions: This study provides a basis for developing multivariate time series models, which can be used to develop improved appropriate epidemic prediction systems for these areas. Long-term entomological study in the studied sites by expert teams is recommended to compare the abundance of malaria vectors in the different areas and their association with climatic variables.
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spelling doaj.art-3d62cc4ab844416595a49d7902b4654d2022-12-22T01:25:14ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsAsian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine2352-41462020-01-01131044845510.4103/1995-7645.291038The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern IranMadineh AbbasiAbbas Rahimi ForoushaniTohid Jafari-KoshkiKamran PakdadHassan VatandoostAhmad Ali Hanafi-BojdObjective: To determine the significance of temperature, rainfall and humidity in the seasonal abundance of Anopheles stephensi in southern Iran. Methods: Data on the monthly abundance of Anopheles stephensi larvae and adults were gathered from earlier studies conducted between 2002 and 2019 in malaria prone areas of southeastern Iran. Climatic data for the studied counties were obtained from climatology stations. Generalized estimating equations method was used for cluster correlation of data for each study site in different years. Results: A significant relationship was found between monthly density of adult and larvae of Anopheles stephensi and precipitation, max temperature and mean temperature, both with simple and multiple generalized estimating equations analysis (P<0.05). But when analysis was done with one month lag, only relationship between monthly density of adults and larvae of Anopheles stephensi and max temperature was significant (P<0.05). Conclusions: This study provides a basis for developing multivariate time series models, which can be used to develop improved appropriate epidemic prediction systems for these areas. Long-term entomological study in the studied sites by expert teams is recommended to compare the abundance of malaria vectors in the different areas and their association with climatic variables.http://www.apjtm.org/article.asp?issn=1995-7645;year=2020;volume=13;issue=10;spage=448;epage=455;aulast=Abbasianopheles stephensi; climatic variables; monthly activity; iran
spellingShingle Madineh Abbasi
Abbas Rahimi Foroushani
Tohid Jafari-Koshki
Kamran Pakdad
Hassan Vatandoost
Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd
The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran
Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine
anopheles stephensi; climatic variables; monthly activity; iran
title The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran
title_full The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran
title_fullStr The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran
title_full_unstemmed The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran
title_short The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston (Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran
title_sort impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector anopheles stephensi liston diptera culicidae in southern iran
topic anopheles stephensi; climatic variables; monthly activity; iran
url http://www.apjtm.org/article.asp?issn=1995-7645;year=2020;volume=13;issue=10;spage=448;epage=455;aulast=Abbasi
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