Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network

Because predictions of transportation system reliability can provide useful information for intelligent transportation systems (ITS), evaluation of them might be viewed as a beneficial activity for reducing traffic congestion. This evaluation procedure could include some alternatives and criteria in...

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Main Authors: Yi Yang, Jiaying Gu, Siyu Huang, Meilin Wen, Yong Qin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/19/3637
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author Yi Yang
Jiaying Gu
Siyu Huang
Meilin Wen
Yong Qin
author_facet Yi Yang
Jiaying Gu
Siyu Huang
Meilin Wen
Yong Qin
author_sort Yi Yang
collection DOAJ
description Because predictions of transportation system reliability can provide useful information for intelligent transportation systems (ITS), evaluation of them might be viewed as a beneficial activity for reducing traffic congestion. This evaluation procedure could include some alternatives and criteria in a discrete decision space. To handle this evaluation process in an uncertain environment, a novel uncertain multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method is put forward in this paper. Considering the validity of uncertainty theory as a measure of epistemic uncertainty, we first introduce it into analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and provide the whole calculation procedure of the approach. The proposed approach is employed to evaluate regional travel time belief reliability in a case study. Additionally, a comparison is performed between the results of uncertain AHP and other MCDM methods to examine the efficiency of this method. These analyses show that uncertainty theory is particularly suited to be employed combination with the AHP method.
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spelling doaj.art-3d67ed5eacb94615bf2bb2ea500dc68e2023-11-23T21:04:53ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902022-10-011019363710.3390/math10193637Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation NetworkYi Yang0Jiaying Gu1Siyu Huang2Meilin Wen3Yong Qin4School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety, School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaBecause predictions of transportation system reliability can provide useful information for intelligent transportation systems (ITS), evaluation of them might be viewed as a beneficial activity for reducing traffic congestion. This evaluation procedure could include some alternatives and criteria in a discrete decision space. To handle this evaluation process in an uncertain environment, a novel uncertain multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method is put forward in this paper. Considering the validity of uncertainty theory as a measure of epistemic uncertainty, we first introduce it into analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and provide the whole calculation procedure of the approach. The proposed approach is employed to evaluate regional travel time belief reliability in a case study. Additionally, a comparison is performed between the results of uncertain AHP and other MCDM methods to examine the efficiency of this method. These analyses show that uncertainty theory is particularly suited to be employed combination with the AHP method.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/19/3637uncertainty quantification modelanalytic hierarchy processuncertain random systemtravel time belief reliability
spellingShingle Yi Yang
Jiaying Gu
Siyu Huang
Meilin Wen
Yong Qin
Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network
Mathematics
uncertainty quantification model
analytic hierarchy process
uncertain random system
travel time belief reliability
title Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network
title_full Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network
title_fullStr Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network
title_full_unstemmed Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network
title_short Application of Uncertain AHP Method in Analyzing Travel Time Belief Reliability in Transportation Network
title_sort application of uncertain ahp method in analyzing travel time belief reliability in transportation network
topic uncertainty quantification model
analytic hierarchy process
uncertain random system
travel time belief reliability
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/19/3637
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AT siyuhuang applicationofuncertainahpmethodinanalyzingtraveltimebeliefreliabilityintransportationnetwork
AT meilinwen applicationofuncertainahpmethodinanalyzingtraveltimebeliefreliabilityintransportationnetwork
AT yongqin applicationofuncertainahpmethodinanalyzingtraveltimebeliefreliabilityintransportationnetwork