Improving flood impact estimations

A reliable estimation of flood impacts enables meaningful flood risk management and rapid assessments of flood impacts shortly after a flood. The flood in 2021 in Central Europe and the analysis of its impacts revealed that these estimations are still inadequate. Therefore, we investigate the influe...

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Main Authors: Tobias Sieg, Annegret H Thieken
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2022-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6d6c
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author Tobias Sieg
Annegret H Thieken
author_facet Tobias Sieg
Annegret H Thieken
author_sort Tobias Sieg
collection DOAJ
description A reliable estimation of flood impacts enables meaningful flood risk management and rapid assessments of flood impacts shortly after a flood. The flood in 2021 in Central Europe and the analysis of its impacts revealed that these estimations are still inadequate. Therefore, we investigate the influence of different data sets and methods aiming to improve flood impact estimates. We estimated economic flood impacts to private households and companies for a flood event in 2013 in Germany using (a) two different flood maps, (b) two approaches to map exposed objects based on OpenStreetMap and the Basic European Asset Map, (c) two different approaches to estimate asset values, and (d) tree-based models and Stage-Damage-Functions to describe the vulnerability. At the macro scale, water masks lead to reasonable impact estimations. At the micro and meso-scale, the identification of affected objects by means of water masks is insufficient leading to unreliable estimations. The choice of exposure data sets is most influential on the estimations. We find that reliable impact estimations are feasible with reported numbers of flood-affected objects from the municipalities. We conclude that more effort should be put in the investigation of different exposure data sets and the estimation of asset values. Furthermore, we recommend the establishment of a reporting system in the municipalities for a fast identification of flood-affected objects shortly after an event.
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spelling doaj.art-3d6d3bc13d13448d91e52df2f0e7ec852023-08-09T15:31:48ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262022-01-0117606400710.1088/1748-9326/ac6d6cImproving flood impact estimationsTobias Sieg0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3859-9082Annegret H Thieken1Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam , Potsdam, Germany; Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam , GermanyInstitute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam , Potsdam, GermanyA reliable estimation of flood impacts enables meaningful flood risk management and rapid assessments of flood impacts shortly after a flood. The flood in 2021 in Central Europe and the analysis of its impacts revealed that these estimations are still inadequate. Therefore, we investigate the influence of different data sets and methods aiming to improve flood impact estimates. We estimated economic flood impacts to private households and companies for a flood event in 2013 in Germany using (a) two different flood maps, (b) two approaches to map exposed objects based on OpenStreetMap and the Basic European Asset Map, (c) two different approaches to estimate asset values, and (d) tree-based models and Stage-Damage-Functions to describe the vulnerability. At the macro scale, water masks lead to reasonable impact estimations. At the micro and meso-scale, the identification of affected objects by means of water masks is insufficient leading to unreliable estimations. The choice of exposure data sets is most influential on the estimations. We find that reliable impact estimations are feasible with reported numbers of flood-affected objects from the municipalities. We conclude that more effort should be put in the investigation of different exposure data sets and the estimation of asset values. Furthermore, we recommend the establishment of a reporting system in the municipalities for a fast identification of flood-affected objects shortly after an event.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6d6crapid impact assessmentfloodsOpenStreetMapflood risk managementnatural hazards
spellingShingle Tobias Sieg
Annegret H Thieken
Improving flood impact estimations
Environmental Research Letters
rapid impact assessment
floods
OpenStreetMap
flood risk management
natural hazards
title Improving flood impact estimations
title_full Improving flood impact estimations
title_fullStr Improving flood impact estimations
title_full_unstemmed Improving flood impact estimations
title_short Improving flood impact estimations
title_sort improving flood impact estimations
topic rapid impact assessment
floods
OpenStreetMap
flood risk management
natural hazards
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6d6c
work_keys_str_mv AT tobiassieg improvingfloodimpactestimations
AT annegreththieken improvingfloodimpactestimations