A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method

Optimizing and managing wireless communication network, including improving the utilization of network resources, energy efficiency, automatically carrying out wireless network planning and network construction, is very important to the communication service providers (CSPs). Key performance indicat...

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Main Authors: Wei Fang, Yun Chen, Ning Pan, Bin Ran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9833022/
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author Wei Fang
Yun Chen
Ning Pan
Bin Ran
author_facet Wei Fang
Yun Chen
Ning Pan
Bin Ran
author_sort Wei Fang
collection DOAJ
description Optimizing and managing wireless communication network, including improving the utilization of network resources, energy efficiency, automatically carrying out wireless network planning and network construction, is very important to the communication service providers (CSPs). Key performance indicators (KPIs) forecasting for wireless cells, especially the long-term forecasting task, plays a key role in wireless network planning and construction. A new adaptive combination forecasting method is proposed in this paper. The adaptive combination forecasting method has been verified by a real large-scale wireless network dataset which contains thousands of wireless cells and corresponding daily KPIs. After a series steps such as dataset analysis, and Auto-encoder algorithm, K-means algorithm and time series forecasting algorithms, we can obtain the prediction model, then compare its symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SAMPE) value with Holt exponential smoothing, Comb method and Theta method.Experimental results have demonstrated that the proposed method has a better performance, especially in the medium and long term forecasting scenario in terms of symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) when compared with some existing methods. It proved that our method can be more suitable for complex wireless communication network environment.
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spelling doaj.art-3dc522a128904602b74419add945fa712022-12-22T02:52:08ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-011011966611967510.1109/ACCESS.2022.31920399833022A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting MethodWei Fang0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2005-907XYun Chen1Ning Pan2Bin Ran3School of Automation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, ChinaSchool of Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, ChinaSchool of Automation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, ChinaDepartment of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI, USAOptimizing and managing wireless communication network, including improving the utilization of network resources, energy efficiency, automatically carrying out wireless network planning and network construction, is very important to the communication service providers (CSPs). Key performance indicators (KPIs) forecasting for wireless cells, especially the long-term forecasting task, plays a key role in wireless network planning and construction. A new adaptive combination forecasting method is proposed in this paper. The adaptive combination forecasting method has been verified by a real large-scale wireless network dataset which contains thousands of wireless cells and corresponding daily KPIs. After a series steps such as dataset analysis, and Auto-encoder algorithm, K-means algorithm and time series forecasting algorithms, we can obtain the prediction model, then compare its symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SAMPE) value with Holt exponential smoothing, Comb method and Theta method.Experimental results have demonstrated that the proposed method has a better performance, especially in the medium and long term forecasting scenario in terms of symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) when compared with some existing methods. It proved that our method can be more suitable for complex wireless communication network environment.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9833022/Time series forecastingwireless cellwireless networkscombination forecasting method
spellingShingle Wei Fang
Yun Chen
Ning Pan
Bin Ran
A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method
IEEE Access
Time series forecasting
wireless cell
wireless networks
combination forecasting method
title A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method
title_full A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method
title_fullStr A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method
title_full_unstemmed A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method
title_short A Large-Scale Wireless Cell Long-Term Daily-Granularity Forecasting Method
title_sort large scale wireless cell long term daily granularity forecasting method
topic Time series forecasting
wireless cell
wireless networks
combination forecasting method
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9833022/
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