Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a significant slowdown in the development of almost all economies in the world. In this context, the main goal of this research is to try to present changes in the value of fiscal, investment and export multipliers as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The research w...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Arkadiusz J. Derkacz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/8/4/122
_version_ 1797547752161280000
author Arkadiusz J. Derkacz
author_facet Arkadiusz J. Derkacz
author_sort Arkadiusz J. Derkacz
collection DOAJ
description The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a significant slowdown in the development of almost all economies in the world. In this context, the main goal of this research is to try to present changes in the value of fiscal, investment and export multipliers as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The research was conducted in selected European Union countries. They are France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Portugal and Spain. This research is based on the theory of effective demand. The values of feeds and leakages of total demand in the period from 2015 to 2020 were examined and calculated. On this basis, the individual multipliers of autonomous spending were analyzed and their changes in the first period of the COVID-19 pandemic were presented. The analyses led to a surprising conclusion: it found that the autonomous spending multipliers in some economies increased. This means that they have become ‘security buffers’ for the health of economies. This means that the increase in their value weakened the negative effects of changes in autonomous expenditure on gross domestic product.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T14:49:38Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3dc8d3ae3dc34dc0a8f0267933396468
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2227-9091
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T14:49:38Z
publishDate 2020-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Risks
spelling doaj.art-3dc8d3ae3dc34dc0a8f02679333964682023-11-20T21:06:02ZengMDPI AGRisks2227-90912020-11-018412210.3390/risks8040122Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020Arkadiusz J. Derkacz0Economic Institute, University of Social Sciences, 00-842 Warsaw, PolandThe COVID-19 pandemic has caused a significant slowdown in the development of almost all economies in the world. In this context, the main goal of this research is to try to present changes in the value of fiscal, investment and export multipliers as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The research was conducted in selected European Union countries. They are France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Portugal and Spain. This research is based on the theory of effective demand. The values of feeds and leakages of total demand in the period from 2015 to 2020 were examined and calculated. On this basis, the individual multipliers of autonomous spending were analyzed and their changes in the first period of the COVID-19 pandemic were presented. The analyses led to a surprising conclusion: it found that the autonomous spending multipliers in some economies increased. This means that they have become ‘security buffers’ for the health of economies. This means that the increase in their value weakened the negative effects of changes in autonomous expenditure on gross domestic product.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/8/4/122principle of efficient demandfiscal multiplierinvestment multiplierexport multiplierCOVID-19 pandemic slowdownsuncertainty
spellingShingle Arkadiusz J. Derkacz
Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020
Risks
principle of efficient demand
fiscal multiplier
investment multiplier
export multiplier
COVID-19 pandemic slowdowns
uncertainty
title Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020
title_full Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020
title_fullStr Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020
title_full_unstemmed Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020
title_short Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020
title_sort fiscal investment and export multipliers and the covid 19 pandemic slowdowns uncertainty factor in the first half of 2020
topic principle of efficient demand
fiscal multiplier
investment multiplier
export multiplier
COVID-19 pandemic slowdowns
uncertainty
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/8/4/122
work_keys_str_mv AT arkadiuszjderkacz fiscalinvestmentandexportmultipliersandthecovid19pandemicslowdownsuncertaintyfactorinthefirsthalfof2020